Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
The first Basque derby of the season is here, with Athletic Bilbao hosting Real Sociedad. The match finds these two rivals seven points apart with Sociedad fifth and Athletic eighth. Real Sociedad have been on a good run, and our prediction will be backing them to prevail in this encounter.
Athletic have a game in hand ahead of this game and will want to make use of it to close in on the top six. Home form has borne the biggest hope for Athletic and they will go into this clash feeling they can get three points this weekend.
Out of their current tally of 12 points, eight have come via home matches. They showed that clearly with a 4-0 home win over Getafe last time.
Real Sociedad will come into this game all focused on breaking Athletic’s growing home record. Only Atlético Madrid have had a better run in the last five league matches than Real Sociedad.
In the run up to the Basque derby, Sociedad posted four straight wins in La Liga. They claimed wins over Valencia Deportivo, Málaga, and most recently Levante.
Bagging 19 points in the league so far, the visitors are just one point below the top four. That will be their target coming into this match, and with three straight wins on the road, it will be hard to rule them out here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.08 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.76 | 3.50 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.62 | 3.36 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.62 | 3.36 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.62 | 3.36 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Sociedad wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.26% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.18 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad is 29.01% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Form
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 |
|
7
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 |
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
3 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
7 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
26 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
Missing players
A. Laporte
U. Egiluz
MidfielderO. Sancet
ForwardG. Guruzeta
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad
A. Berenguer
(3 Goals)
L. Sucic
(3 Goals)
, 
O. Oskarsson
(3 Goals)
I. Williams
(3 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(3 Assists)
J. Ochieng
(3 Assists)
,
C. Soler
(3 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad Stats in LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Real Sociedad are unbeaten in five matches against Athletic Bilbao.
- Athletic Bilbao have only won two of seven home La Liga games.
- Real Sociedad have won each of their last three away league matches.
- Real Sociedad have won their latest four matches in La Liga.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad is that Real Sociedad wins. Athletic Bilbao are seeking a first win in six against Real Sociedad across all competitions. In the last five they suffered three defeats, the latest two being in the Copa Del Rey last season as Sociedad marched to the cup win.
The visitors went into a slump thereafter but have since recovered and come here as a strong unit, boasting four straight wins in La Liga. Athletic Bilbao look likely struggle here, and we feel an away win would be a good bet.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
