Spain - LaLiga
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by Nella Wagah | in LaLiga Predictions
Alaves have failed to build on their opening win of the season, and now they face a tough away match at Athletic Bilbao. The hosts are second with nine points, taking on Alvaes, who have four from three matches. Read on for our prediction.
Athletic Bilbao last won three opening matches of a La Liga season 15 years ago. They will look to go one better and set a new high by winning four straight matches to start a season.
They have beaten Alaves in four of the last six meetings, and that should inspire confidence going into this game. Before heading into the international break, Bilbao claimed a 2-1 win away at Betis.
Alaves had a good start to the season, with a 2-1 win over Levante. However, things have gone south, and they failed to win in the two matches that followed. After losing 1-0 to Betis on matchday two, they will look at their third outing as a success, though they failed to win.
The visitors came from a goal down to hold Atletico Madrid to a 1-1 draw, thereafter proceeding to the international break.
The two weeks were welcome for recovery, and Alaves will want to break Athletic Club’s dominance over them. However, they have just two wins in their last nine away matches in La Liga.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés match is: Athletic Bilbao wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.39% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Alavés with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés is 18.73% with odds of 3.9 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 7 at Betfred.
Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 51.39% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 73.95% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 23.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 27.98% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Form
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
|
12
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
22 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
Players list
U. Simon
DefenderJ. Areso
D. Vivian
A. Paredes
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderM. Vesga
M. Jauregizar
R. Navarro
ForwardN. Serrano
U. Izeta
M. Sannadi
A. Sivera
DefenderJ. Otto
F. Garces
F. Tenaglia
V. Parada
MidfielderA. Blanco
P. Ibanez
D. Suarez
J. Pacheco
ForwardL. Boye
T. Martinez
Substitutes
M. Santos
DefenderJ. de Luis
A. Gorosabel
A. Boiro
MidfielderM. Vesga
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
ForwardR. Navarro
N. Serrano
M. Sannadi
U. Izeta
R. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Pacheco
V. Parada
Y. Enriquez
MidfielderCalebe
D. Suarez
A. Guevara
ForwardL. Boye
A. Rebbach
T. Martinez
Missing players
A. Padilla
DefenderY. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
I. Lekue
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
N. Maras
MidfielderC. Benavidez
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Alavés
G. Guruzeta
(3 Goals)
C. Vicente
(3 Goals)
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
,
M. Jauregizar
(2 Assists)
C. Alena
(3 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Key Points
- Athletic are unbeaten in five matches against Alaves.
- Alaves have only two wins in nine away league matches.
- Alaves lost their last four away league games at Athletic.
- In their last 18 league matches, Athletic suffered one defeat.
- Athletic posted three straight wins to start their league season.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction
As much as Alaves would want to register their second win of the season, this looks like a game beyond them from the onset. Athletic Bilbao have a better record in this fixture and comes into this particular match in great form.
They have also done well at home, and we don’t foresee the visitors breaking that run. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Alaves is that Athletic Bilbao wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Alavés
| Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 3.7 | -14.5% |
| Alavés wins | 6 | 6.25 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Alavés game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
