Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan will make the short trip to Bergamo in midweek for another tough outing against Atalanta. The visitors will be looking to go back to the Serie A summit after dropping to third in what’s unfolding as a tight title race. This will be a round nine match in the league and finds the two sides five points apart. Below is our prediction of the match.
Hosts Atalanta have banked 12 points so far, though they remain as the only undefeated side. They’ve had a dominant run against Milan in recent meetings and will hope this one stays in that script.
AC Milan have posted 17 points so far and are coming off a disappointing draw, dropping points for the second time in three matches. The visitors have an eight-game unbeaten run, though, and will draw their inspiration from that as they take on an opponent they’ve lately struggled against.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs AC Milan match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2025 between Atalanta and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.01% for a win of Atalanta against AC Milan with odds of 2.63 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs AC Milan is 42.42% with odds of 3.4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.57% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Atalanta with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Atalanta vs AC Milan Form
Atalanta and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
|
7
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
Atalanta and AC Milan Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
23 Sep 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Sep 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
23 Sep 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sep 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sep 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Atalanta vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
9 Dec 2023 - Serie A
26 Feb 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Atalanta haven't tasted defeat in the Serie A yet, but they haven't been exciting either, winning only two of their opening eight matches. Six draws make Ivan Juric’s men the league draw specialists.
Such is the main reason they are outside the European slots at the moment. Last time out against promoted Cremonese, La Dea were outright favorites but could only manage a 1-1 draw.
La Dea actually had to battle from a goal down in that game. With just three wins in their last 15 home league matches, we can’t really back Atalanta to change things here.
Atalanta are unbeaten in their last five matches against Milan.
AC Milan will be disappointed to be going into this match sitting third. This comes as a result of a poor outing against newly promoted side Pisa, which ended 2-2 last.
That was the second draw Milan registered in a span of three league matches. The silver lining for the visitors is that they are just a point off the league summit.
They will be hoping for a favorable mix of results to lift them back there. However, this may not be the match to come hunting three points from. They haven't beaten Atalanta in any of the last five meetings, losing four.
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Atalanta vs AC Milan last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
M. Bakker
G. Scalvini
L. Torriani
DefenderP. Estupinan
MidfielderA. Jashari
A. Rabiot
R. Loftus-Cheek
ForwardC. Balentien
C. Pulisic
Atalanta & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Ademola Lookman is back from his self-imposed exile and is slowly getting his foot in the team. Yet to score in his four league matches thus far, Lookman has registered nine shots and heads here with an xG of 1.23.
For a player who managed 15 league goals last season and finished with 10.48 xG, the Nigerian will be a hit when he gets to his best.
Goals have been scarce for the hosts, but Nikola Krstovic has come up with a few important ones. He has five-goal contributions in the 400 Serie A minutes he has played.
Milan’s Estupinan, Jashari, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Adrien Rabiot are all injured.
AC Milan will once again miss their talisman in attack, Christian Pulisic. The American is nursing a hamstring injury and is only expected back in November.
In his six matches this season, Pulisic had made six goal contributions. With nine shots, he managed four goals, and in his continued absence, Rafael Leao is the man to lead in attack.
The Portuguese is a sure starter here, after netting two goals in the last three matches.
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
AC Milan
L. Samardzic
(2 Goals)
, 
K. Sulemana
(2 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(2 Goals)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Pasalic
(2 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(4 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
,
L. Modric
(2 Assists)
Atalanta and AC Milan Stats in Serie A
Atalanta - AC Milan Key Points
- Atalanta drew in eight of their last 15 home league games.
- Atalanta are unbeaten in their last five meetings with AC Milan.
- AC Milan are coming from two draws in their last three matches.
- Atalanta have posted six draws in their eight league games so far.
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Our Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction
AC Milan hasn't managed a win against Atalanta in their last five meetings, losing four. They will be keen on ending that poor run here, but they will be meeting an equally formidable side. Atalanta have not tasted defeat so far this season in the league but has drawn six of the eight outings.
Each of their last four matches ended in draws, and AC Milan is also coming from a second draw in three matches. For both sides, this will be a tough game, and a draw is written all over it. Our prediction for Atalanta v AC Milan is for a draw.
Atalanta vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
While these two sides know just how crucial a win in this fixture could be, we don’t feel either side will go all out in attack. Still, it is a clash that more often than not has a goal at the minimum. Atalanta won 1-0 last time out, but each of the earlier four had both teams score.
In three of AC Milan’s last four games, both sides scored, and it was a similar case in four of Atalanta’s last six outings. Our second prediction for this match will be for both teams to score.
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Atalanta vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Atalanta v AC Milan match will be played on Tuesday, 28th October.
The Atalanta v AC Milan match will be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
