Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Rome
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka continues her quest for a first Italian Open title and will take on 26th seed Sorana Cirstea in a third-round match. This marks their second meeting of the season, and our prediction favors a Sabalenka win.
Aryna Sabalenka is the overwhelming favorite to win this year’s Rome title. The world number one has been the best performer in 2026 so far and has failed to win just twice in 29 outings.
She has won three titles and finished as runner-up once. One of Sabalenka’s victories was a straight-set win over Cirstea on her way to being crowned Brisbane champion.
The 28-year-old, who was a finalist in the Italian capital two seasons ago, saw off Barbora Krejcikova in the last round.
Sorana Cirstea also won her opening round tie this week in straight sets. Facing off with Tatjana Maria, Cirstea put up a commanding display as she relinquished just two games to the German.
The veteran Romanian is having one of her best seasons and is achieving this in her final rodeo as a pro player. Cirstea, who is set to retire at the end of the campaign, has compiled a 24-7 record and is 7-2 on clay.
The last time the 36-year-old, who is this year’s Cluj-Napoca champion, was in Rome, she earned a fourth-round finish.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 5.9 |
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|
1.14 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.13 | 6 |
|
|
1.13 | 5.2 |
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|
1.13 | 5.2 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea game on 09/05/2026 of the current WTA Rome season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 71.75% chance to win against Sorana Cirstea according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.15.
- Sorana Cirstea has a 28.25% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 71.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 71.75 % |
| Sorana Cirstea | 28.25 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 May 2026 - WTA Rome
28 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 May 2026 - WTA Rome
26 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
15 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
10 Apr 2026 - WTA Linz
Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
27 Apr 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Mar 2023 - WTA Miami
Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea Key Points
- Sabalenka has won twice previously against Cirstea.
- Sabalenka dropped at least a set twice in her last three matches.
- One of Sabalenka’s victories against Cirstea was earned on a clay surface.
- Cirstea lost the last six times she faced WTA top 10 opposition.
- Sabalenka has won 27 matches so far in 2026.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea is for the exact score: 2-1. Sabalenka is the overwhelming favorite to win not only this match but the event in Rome. The world number one has been in terrific form in 2026, losing just twice in 29 outings.
One of her wins this term was against Cirstea and was achieved in straight sets. Their latest duel, though, we feel might be a bit of a tougher outing. This is because Cirstea is having a strong clay season and was in magnificent form in the last round.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea game!
When you place a bet on the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Sorana Cirstea, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
