Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Brisbane
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will be looking to successfully defend her Brisbane International title when meeting Marta Kostyuk in the final on Sunday. Going into the fifth meeting between the two, Kostyuk will be gunning for only her first win over Sabalenka. Read on for our prediction of the match.
These two faced off twice in 2025, Sabalenka extending her winning run to four in four without losing a set. She will be on course for the same, having won in straight sets in all her four outings here.
In the semi-final, Sabalenka dropped the most games (7) as she beat Karolina Muchova in straight sets. She is looking to become only the fourth player to win multiple titles here and the third to successfully defend.
Kostyuk is at her best performance in Brisbane, and she will be well aware of the challenge ahead of her. Before this season, she had never progressed past the second round in her four earlier appearances at Brisbane.
Solidifying her place as the underdog is her head-to-head record against Sabalenka. The Ukrainian, however, will draw confidence from her performances here.
She has seen the elimination of second seed Amanda Anisimova, sixth seed Mirra Andreeva, and most recently fourth seed Jessica Pegula. Ironically, Kostyuk only struggled against lucky loser Yulia Putintseva, the one time she lost a set.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Marta Kostyuk Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.29 | 3.75 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.3 | 3.6 |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.25 | 3.7 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk match is: Exact score: 2-0.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk game on 11/01/2026 of the current WTA Brisbane season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 71.61% chance to win against Marta Kostyuk according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
- Marta Kostyuk has a 28.39% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4 at Betway.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 71.61 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 71.61 % |
| Marta Kostyuk | 28.39 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
7 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
9 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
20 Dec 2025 - World Tennis League, Women Singles
19 Dec 2025 - World Tennis League, Women Singles
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
12 May 2025 - WTA Rome
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 May 2023 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk Key Points
- Sabalenka is playing in her third final at Brisbane.
- Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set this season in Brisbane.
- Kostyuk lost all her four previous matches against Sabalenka.
- In 14 matches at Brisbane, Sabalenka has only lost once.
- Kostyuk has never won a set when meeting Sabalenka.
- Sabalenka has successfully defended a title three times in her career.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction
Sabalenka has four wins in as many meetings with Marta Kostyuk and is an overwhelming favorite here. The Russian didn’t just win those four matches; she did so in straight sets and has been in a similar form in Brisbane. She hasn’t lost a set so far but knows she can’t drop her guard just yet.
Kostyuk is not just seeking revenge; she has earned her place here with three big wins this week. She pushed Sabalenka to tiebreaks three times in their last two meetings and could do the same here. However, our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Marta Kostyuk is - Exact score: 2-0.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Marta Kostyuk, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
