Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka, the top seed at the US Open, will be up against Leylah Fernandez as they battle for a fourth-round slot. These two are meeting for the second time. We have a prediction for the match below.
Sabalenka didn’t have the smoothest of times in her opening two matches. However, she will be happy to still be here to defend her title. A straight-set win over Polina Kudermetova booked her place in the third round and improved her 2025 season record to 52-10.
Though she’s won three titles this season, two on hard courts, the Belarussian has suffered two painful losses at Grand Slam finals (Australian Open and Roland Garros) and will hope this goes well.
Fernandez is marking her sixth appearance at Flushing Meadows and is only gracing the third round for the first time since reaching the final in 2021.
In the last two editions, her run ended in the first round. In her only other meeting with Sabalenka, she emerged the best, which coincidentally occurred during her run to the final in the 2021 US Open. She comes here having battled Elsa Jacquemot in three sets.
With the victory, she has now compiled a 24-20 record for the season. A winner in Washington, Fernandez has failed to go past the third round in the majors this season. She enters this match sitting 25th in the live rankings.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Leylah Fernandez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.18 | 5.70 |
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1.14 | 5.55 |
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1.14 | 5.70 |
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1.14 | 5.50 |
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1.15 | 4.90 |
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Fernandez Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Fernandez Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
24 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
24 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
20 Aug 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open
18 Aug 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open
9 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
29 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Fernandez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
9 Sept 2021 - WTA US Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Fernandez Key Points
- Sabalenka dropped at least one set in four of her last eight matches.
- The only meeting between these players was played to three sets.
- Leylah Fernandez has suffered three defeats in her last six matches.
- Sabalenka has posted 12 wins in her last 15 matches.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction
These two met at Flushing Meadows in the semi-finals in 2021, and Fernandez prevailed, reaching her only final at the US Open. It was a tremendous achievement, but things have changed a lot, though the Canadian will still want a repeat.
She meets a much better player in Sabalenka, and she must be cautious in this game. Sabalenka may be the favorite, but she had her shaky moments in the opening rounds. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Leyla Fernandez is for Sabalenka to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
