Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Berlin Open
WTA - WTA Berlin Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Jessica Pegula meets top seed Aryna Sabalenka in the semi-finals in Berlin. This marks their 13th career meeting. Two top players clash here, but it is Sabalenka who has the numbers in this matchup, and our prediction backs her.
Sabalenka is back in the semi-finals at the German capital, hoping for better tidings this year. The world number one, who is seeking her maiden title in Berlin, was eliminated in the semis last season.
To re-enter the last four again, Sabalenka had to compose herself against a determined Nikola Bartunkova in the quarter-finals. She was on the verge of elimination when she won the second set via a tiebreak to force a decider.
Sabalenka has beaten Pegula nine times, with four of those wins coming either in the semis or final of a tour event.
Pegula’s most recent victory over Sabalenka came in the semi-finals in Wuhan less than a year ago. She won in three sets and will be hoping for a similar outcome to keep her quest for a second Berlin title going.
Pegula, who is competing in her fourth tournament in Berlin, was crowned champion two seasons ago. Last season, the American’s title defence did not take off, as she was eliminated in her first match.
Pegula, the world number four, saw off the challenge of Madison Keys in the quarter-finals.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.47 | 2.77 |
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1.45 | 2.74 |
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1.45 | 2.74 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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|
1.43 | 2.64 |
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
17 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
3 Jun 2026 - WTA French Open
1 Jun 2026 - WTA French Open
30 May 2026 - WTA French Open
28 May 2026 - WTA French Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
17 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
26 May 2026 - WTA French Open
13 May 2026 - WTA Rome
11 May 2026 - WTA Rome
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
4 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
4 Sept 2025 - WTA US Open
29 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
7 Sept 2024 - WTA US Open
19 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Sabalenka has defeated Pegula nine times thus far.
- Pegula lost to a fellow top-10-ranked opponent 10 times over the last year.
- Sabalenka has won 12 of her last 16 duels against top-10-ranked players.
- Four of Sabalenka’s nine wins against Pegula have come in the latter two rounds of tour events.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula is for the exact score: 2-1. Sabalenka has dominated this fixture against Pegula, winning nine of the 12 meetings so far. Though they have never squared off on a grass court before, the world number one stands a good chance of coming out on top again.
Aside from this record, Sabalenka, who is one of the most in-form players this season, has dominated fellow top 10 stars. This is something that Pegula hasn’t been able to do, losing more meetings against such opponents.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
