WTA - WTA Finals
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula made a winning start to this indoor hard court WTA Finals. They now meet in their second match in this round-robin group that also includes Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini. Time for our match prediction.
Aryna Sabalenka has earned more ranking points than any other player this year. The world number one is yet to be the WTA Finals champion and will be wanting to change that this year in Riyadh.
Sabalenka was in top form when beating Jasmine Paolini in her first match in this tournament. Only four games were lost and 11 aces served. This is her 12th match against Pegula and she leads 8-3.
However, it was Pegula who won their most recent meeting, winning in Wuhan in October. That win ended a run of four successive defeats to Sabalenka by Pegula. Their last two matches have both gone to a final set.
Pegula began her WTA Finals campaign with a three-set win over defending champion Coco Gauff. That avenged a recent loss to Gauff in the Wuhan final. Nine of her last 11 matches have been won.
Her last ten matches have all seen more than 19.5 games played. We tip that statistic to come up here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.6 |
|
Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula match is: more than 19.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula game on 04/11/2025 of the current WTA Finals season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 65.65% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.33.
- Jessica Pegula has a 34.35% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 65.65 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 65.65 % |
| Jessica Pegula | 34.35 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
8 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
6 Sept 2025 - WTA US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
12 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
8 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
7 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
4 Sept 2025 - WTA US Open
29 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
7 Sept 2024 - WTA US Open
19 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
31 Oct 2023 - WTA Finals
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- The last five matches between Sabalenka and Pegula have had more than 19.5 games played in them.
- More than 19.5 games have been played in each of the last ten matches Pegula has played.
- Nine of Pegula's last ten matches have gone to a third set and seen either a 7-5 or 7-6 set played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would be great news for our prediction. There's been at least one played in four of the last five matches between these two players.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka was in great form in her opening match in this round-robin group. The world number one served excellently agaainst Jasmine Paolini who only won four games in the match. Sabalenka should face tougher opposition from Jessica Pegula.
Her last match against the American was lost and each of their last five matches have seen over 19.5 games played in them. Pegula also won her opening match but it took her three sets. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula prediction is more than 19.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
