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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA 1 Belarus
Aryna Sabalenka
11/10/2025 06:30
WTA 6 USA
Jessica Pegula

Prediction :

 

Pegula to win a set

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Aryna Sabalenka’s connection with the Chinese crowds extends to another match after she booked a semi-final berth at the Wuhan Open. The world number one is set to meet Jessica Pegula for their 11th career meeting. We have a prediction below.

Top seed Sabalenka lost six games as she saw off a hard-fighting Elena Rybakina in the quarter-finals. That was not just win number 59 for the season for Sabalenka but also revenge for her loss to Rybakina in Cincinnati.

A second straight-set win means she also has the bonus of more rest ahead of facing an opponent she’s dominated. Top in the live rank, Sabalenka is now unbeaten in 20 matches at Wuhan, going for a fourth straight title.

Pegula has reached her seventh semi-final of the season after beating Katerina Siniakova in the last round. She did it in three sets, recovering superbly with a bagel after losing the opening set.

That match was another highlight of Pegula’s struggles on hard courts this season. She comes here having played three sets in each of her last seven matches. If she were to focus on the positives, then in the last eight matches, Pegula won at least a set.

That will be a very key stat to chase in this game, facing an opponent she’s only beaten twice in 10 meetings. Pegula has so far compiled a 50-20 record and sits fifth in the live ranks.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.29 3.75
Betway
1.3 3.5
Ladbrokes
1.3 3.2
Unibet
1.3 3.45
NetBet
1.25 3.35
Check all Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula odds
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula match is: Pegula to win a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula game on 11/10/2025 of the current WTA Wuhan Open season:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has a 67.18% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.33.
  • Jessica Pegula has a 32.82% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 67.18 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Aryna Sabalenka67.18 %
Jessica Pegula32.82 %

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Last Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elena Rybakina

9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova

8 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Rebecca Sramkova

6 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Amanda Anisimova

4 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

2 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
withdraw
Marketa Vondrousova
Jessica Pegula Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Katerina Siniakova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

8 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

7 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Hailey Baptiste
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

4 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open

Jessica Pegula
1 :  2
Linda Noskova

3 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Navarro
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

1 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

83 %

Jessica Pegula

17 %

4 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

29 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

7 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

19 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

31 Oct 2023 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

4 Nov 2022 - WTA Doha

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points

  1. Sabalenka lost a set in her last meeting with Pegula.
  2. Pegula won at least a set in each of her last eight matches.
  3. In four of her last seven matches at Wuhan, Sabalenka dropped a set.
  4. Pegula has played three sets in each of her matches at Wuhan this season.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula get to face off in another encounter expected to be epic. In each of the last five years, these two have met at least once. Here the two will be meeting for the third time this season.

After a series of straight-set wins in this fixture, Sabalenka dropped a set in their last meeting at the US Open. It was Pegula’s fifth set won against Sabalenka, and she will be confident, having claimed a set or more in her last eight outings. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula is for Pegula to win a set.

Prediction :

 

Pegula to win a set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
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