WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka is one match away from her fourth Madrid Open final. The top seed faces the 17th-seeded Elina Svitolina in the last four of this outdoor clay court tournament. Here's our match prediction.
The world number one has won this WTA 1000 tournament on two previous occasions in 2021 and 2023. A third title was denied her when being beaten by Iga Swiatek in last years' final. The winner of this match will face either Swiatek or Cori Gauff in the final.
Only one set has been dropped by Sabalenka in this tournament. That was in round three against Elise Mertens. Since then, there have been straight sets wins over Peyton Stearns and 24th-seeded Marta Kostyuk, the latter requiring two tie-breaks.
There have been five previous meetings with Svitolina winning just one of them. Sabalenka leads 2-1 on clay but two have gone to a final set.
Elina Svitolina has now won all 11 of her clay court matches this year. The Rouen champion has won all of those 11 matches in straight sets. Wednesday saw her defeat unseeded Moyuka Uchijima for the loss of just three games.
Other wins on her way to this semi-final have seen her beat Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari
We tip Sabalenka to win and over 20.5 games played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Elina Svitolina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 2.63 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.63 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win and over 20.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina game on 01/05/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.61% chance to win against Elina Svitolina according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.53.
- Elina Svitolina has a 38.39% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.61 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 61.61 % |
| Elina Svitolina | 38.39 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
20 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - WTA Rouen
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Rouen
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
16 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
13 May 2024 - WTA Rome
6 Jun 2023 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina Key Points
- 26 games were played in Sabalenka's last match,even though only two sets were played.
- Sabalenka leads Svitolina 4-1 in previous matches, winning two out of three on clay.
- Three of those previous five meetings saw over 20.5 games played.
- Sabalenka has twice won this title.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Prediction
This looks like being an intriguing semi-final in Madrid. Aryna Sabalenka has had great success in this outdoor clay court trophy but had a tough quarter-final with two tie-breaks needed to beat Marta Kostyuk.
Eliina Svitolina is on a winning streak on clay but this is her toughest opponent to date. Her record against Sabalenka isn't great but there have been some close matches. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Elina Svitolina prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win and over 20.5 games to be played.
Prediction :
Aryna Sabalenka to win and over 20.5 games to be played
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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