Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Champions League
Europe - Women's Champions League
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by Ian John | in Women's Champions League Predictions
Arsenal Women host Olympique Lyonnes Women in the first leg of the Women's UEFA Champions League Semi Final on Sunday, with the Gunners as the defending Champions. However, they face a tough test against Lyon as Les Fenottes are the record 8-times winners of the trophy. Who will our prediction back to take any advantage into the second leg of the match?
Currently third in the WSL, Arsenal reached the semi-final thanks to a 3-2 aggregate win over Chelsea, which followed on from a 7-1 aggregate win over OH Leuven. They did lose two group stage games, 3-2 away at Bayern and 2-1 at home to today's opposition. Lyonnes received a bye in the first knockout round and then beat Wolfsburg 4-1 on aggregate to reach the semi-final. They were unbeaten in the league phase, winning five and drawing one of their six games.
Arsenal's form heading into this fixture is a little concerning. They won the first leg of their quarterfinal with Chelsea 3-1 in this competition before a 5-2 home win in the WSL over rivals Tottenham. However they then lost the second leg to Chelsea 1-0 before a shock 2-0 home loss in the FA Women's Cup to Brighton.
Lyonnes form is excellent both domestically and in Europe. A 2-2 draw at Strasbourh has since been followed by three thumping wins. A 4-0 win over Wolfsburg, a 6-0 win away to Strasbourh in the Coup de France Femenine and then a 4-0 win over Dijon in the league in midweek.
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Arsenal v Olympique Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.6 | 2.39 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.62 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.62 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.6 | 2.36 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Olympique Lyon?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon match is: Arsenal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/04/2026 between Arsenal and Olympique Lyon in Women's Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.61% for a win of Arsenal against Olympique Lyon with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon is 10.18% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal with odds of 2.47 at Tonybet.
Arsenal - Olympique Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Olympique Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique Lyon wins | 46.2% | 2.47 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.75% | 1.62 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.25% | |
| Half-time : Arsenal / Full-time : Olympique Lyon | 18.49% | 23 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon Form
Arsenal and Olympique Lyon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
22 Feb 2026 - Women's FA Cup
18 Feb 2026 - Women's Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
11 Feb 2026 - Women's Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup
17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
5 Apr 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
28 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
18 Mar 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
10 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
8 Feb 2026 - Division 1, Women
14 Jan 2026 - Division 1, Women
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
28 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
21 Feb 2026 - Division 1, Women
1 Feb 2026 - Division 1, Women
Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League
27 Apr 2025 - Women's Champions League
19 Apr 2025 - Women's Champions League
Players list
D. Van Domselaar
DefenderE. Fox
L. Williamson
L. Wubben-Moy
MidfielderK. Little
ForwardO. Smith
C. Foord
K. McCabe
M. Caldentey
S. Blackstenius
A. Russo
C. Endler Mutinelli
DefenderA. Lawrence
W. Renard
MidfielderJ. Brand
L. Yohannes
A. Korbin
S. Svava
L. Heaps
I. Engen
ForwardK. Diani
A. Hegerberg
Substitutes
A. Borbe
B. Votikova
DefenderL. Codina
S. Holmberg
T. Hinds
V. Pelova
S. Harwood
F. Maanum
F. Belhadj
DefenderS. Bacha
E. Nelhage
A. Sombath
Tarciane
MidfielderM. Fathallah
D. Dumornay
I. Benyahia
D. Egurrola
T. Chawinga
V. Becho
M. Katoto
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Olympique Lyon
A. Russo
(9 Goals)
D. Dumornay
(5 Goals)
Arsenal - Olympique Lyon Key Points
- In the last five games between the teams Arsenal have outscored Lyonnes 11 goals to 7.
- The Gunners are unbeaten at home this season in the league.
- Lyonnes come into this game having played in midweek, while Arsenal have rested since early April.
- Lyonnes have won just one of their last three away games (L1, D1).
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Our Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon Prediction
Our prediction for the Arsenal Women v Lyonnes Women Champions League Semi Final 1st Leg match is: Arsenal wins.
This was a difficult game to make a prediction for. The data for these two teams is very strong but the head to head is strongly in favour of the visitors, but in more recent games, Arsenal have Lyon's bogey team. The Gunners good home form in the league stands them in good stead here. This will be tight and edgy and we think Arsenal sneak it by a single goal,.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Olympique Lyon
| Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 2.65 | 2.7 | +1.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0% |
| Olympique Lyon wins | 2.55 | 2.47 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Olympique Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 40.5% (1.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
