England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Arsenal will be back in Premier League action this weekend and will welcome Bournemouth on Saturday. With four matches left to conclude the campaign, Arsenal sit in second place, 17 points above their 10th-placed visitors. Below is our prediction for this match, which will be staged at the Emirates Stadium.
Though they were squeezed out of title contention, the Gunners’ season is still very much in play with a Champions League spot at stake. They will also hope to finish not lower than second. Bournemouth are also in with a chance of securing a European spot for next season.
The Cherries shocked their soon-to-be hosts in the reverse game, winning 2-0 at home to hand them their first loss of the season in the league. Bournemouth, however, aren’t the bookies' favorite to win again; Arsenal are. Before losing in the first meeting between them, Arsenal had gone on a nine-match unbeaten run against the Cherries.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.5 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Bournemouth match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Arsenal and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.4% for a win of Arsenal against Bournemouth with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Bournemouth is 35.57% with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Arsenal with odds of 5 at Vbet.
Arsenal - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 41.4% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.36% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 16.13% | 3 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Form
Arsenal and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
74 | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 35 |
|
9
|
56 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Arsenal and Bournemouth Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
14 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
14 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2023 - Premier League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
20 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Arsenal - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Arsenal are coming off a disappointing loss at home in the Champions League to PSG. There is a big possibility that preparing for that second leg tie will weigh heavily in the team selection on Saturday.
The Spanish coach could tinker with his lineup and opt to give some of his starters a rest. Arsenal have struggled in recent outings, especially in the league, where they’ve won just one of their last four games.
They drew 2-2 with Crystal Palace last time out, with the result all but ending their title hopes. Arsenal are already assured of a place in Europe next season, but with 67 points, they have to win twice more to secure Champions League qualification.
Bournemouth are eying a first double against Arsenal.
Bournemouth are mathematically in with a chance at finishing among the top seven and thus qualifying for the Conference League. Andoni Iraola’s men, however, do not have their fate in their hands and will have to rely on other results to make this a reality.
The Cherries have amassed 50 points and are seven points off the top seven. They have won 13 matches and drawn a further 11. Bournemouth have been solid recently and haven’t lost in four games after previously losing three in a row. They drew 1-1 with Man United last time out.
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Players list
D. Raya
DefenderO. Zinchenko
W. Saliba
J. Kiwior
MidfielderM. Lewis-Skelly
M. Odegaard
T. Partey
M. Merino
L. Trossard
ForwardE. Nwaneri
R. Sterling
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderA. Scott
I. Zabarnyi
D. Huijsen
M. Kerkez
MidfielderL. Cook
T. Adams
M. Tavernier
ForwardA. Semenyo
D. Brooks
D. Jebbison
Substitutes
T. Setford
DefenderO. Zinchenko
K. Tierney
B. Clarke
MidfielderN. Butler-Oyedeji
M. Merino
J. Gower
ForwardR. Sterling
E. Nwaneri
W. Dennis
DefenderA. Smith
J. Soler
J. Hill
M. Senesi
MidfielderD. Brooks
A. Scott
D. Jebbison
A. Semenyo
Missing players
Neto
DefenderT. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderJorginho
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
E. Unal
L. Sinisterra
R. Christie
Arsenal & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Leandro Trossard has netted eight times for Arsenal in the league this season. With the Gunners in crisis as all their natural strikers are out, the Belgian is likely to be preferred to lead the line against Bournemouth as he did against PSG.
Mikel Arteta could ring changes, seeing Ethan Nwaneri given a starting berth on Saturday. The youngster could be crucial for the Gunners, who may opt not to risk Bukayo Saka, a man with three goals in six matches against Bournemouth.
Bournemouth’s Evanilson is suspended.
At Bournemouth, Justin Kluivert is having his best offensive output since joining the team back in 2023. He has netted a team-leading 12 league goals and was on target in the home win against Arsenal, slotting home a late penalty.
Antoine Semenyo is also another one to look out for here for the Cherries. With nine goals, the Ghanaian has recorded his best scoring league campaign. His latest goal came last week, against Manchester United.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Bournemouth
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
J. Kluivert
(12 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
M. Tavernier
(6 Assists)
Arsenal - Bournemouth Key Points
- Arsenal have conceded in seven of their last 10 games across all competitions.
- Six of Arsenal’s last eight league matches at home have seen both teams score.
- Both teams scored in eight of Bournemouth’s last 10 outings across all competitions.
- Bournemouth have conceded in all but two of their 17 away league fixtures.
- Trossard has scored four goals in his last four league matches for Arsenal.
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Our Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction
Our prediction for Arsenal v Bournemouth is for both teams to score. Arsenal aren’t the solid defensive team they were when the season began. They have struggled in keeping clean sheets. With a few changes expected to be made to the squad this weekend, they are likely to once again see their rearguard breached.
This is very likely given they are coming up against a decent attacking side. They, however, are still one of the best attacking teams in the league and can run riot on any given day. With Bournemouth also possessing a porous defence, we are likely to see both teams get on the scoresheet.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Leandro Trossard to score
For our second prediction, we pick Leandro Trossard to be on the scoresheet. The Arsenal forward has netted eight of his 11 goals this season in the league. He has also been in a rich vein of form recently, scoring half of Arsenal’s last eight league goals. In the absence of recognized strikers, he has filled in well.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Bournemouth
| Arsenal vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.9 | 1.83 | -3.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.8 | +2.7% |
| Bournemouth wins | 3.7 | 4.1 | +10.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 54.6% (2.0%)
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Arsenal vs Bournemouth match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Saturday, 3 May 2025.
This match will be played at Arsenal’s Emirates Stadium in London, England.
Fans in the UK can catch this game live on Sky Sports Premier League, Main Event and Ultra. Minute-by-minute updates will also be available on Sportytrader Premier League portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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