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Arouca vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Arouca
29/09/2025 15:00
Porto

Prediction :

 

Porto to win to nil

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions

The Estadio Municipal de Arouca will be the venue when FC Porto visits Arouca for matchday seven action. In this game, hosts Arouca look to rise into the top half as Porto seeks to return to the league summit. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Arouca are coming off their second win in the league this season. A 2-1 away victory at Nacional saw them rise to 10th in the standings. The win was the response they needed after falling to Casa Pia at home earlier.

Arouca will still have their fears going into this game, as their only meeting with a top-three opponent this season ended in a 6-0 thrashing by Sporting.

FC Porto slipped to second in the standings as a result of being inactive on Saturday. Their challengers for the title, Sporting, drifted to the league summit, and Porto will be gunning for a win here to retake the league leadership.

The visitors are one of the two unbeaten sides in the league, but the only one with a perfect record. They also hold the best defensive record, having conceded just one goal in six matches.

Porto’s fine start extended to Europe, where they beat Salzburg 1-0 in the Europa League in midweek.

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The Best Betting Odds for Arouca v Porto Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
8 5 1.33
Betfred
8.5 4.5 1.36
William Hill
8 4.4 1.4
Betway
8 4.5 1.36
Unibet
8 4.7 1.37
Check all Arouca vs Porto odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arouca and Porto?

Our prediction for the Arouca vs Porto match is: Porto to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2025 between Arouca and Porto in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.89% for a win of Arouca against Porto with odds of 8.5 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arouca vs Porto is 22.56% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 51.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Arouca with odds of 1.43 at 888Starz.

Arouca vs Porto Form

Arouca and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Porto
Porto
18 6 6 0 0 14
10
Arouca
Arouca
8 6 2 2 2 -5

Arouca and Porto Last Matches

Arouca
Arouca Last matches
W L D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Arouca

14 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Arouca

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  3
Rio Ave

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD
W D W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  3
Rio Ave

9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  1
Boavista

4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora
D L D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Arouca

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Arouca

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Arouca

26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  0
Arouca

13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca
Porto
Porto Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  1
Porto

19 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Porto

13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  2
Porto
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
2 :  1
Twente

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Porto
4 :  4
AL Ahly SC
D L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  1
Porto

19 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Porto

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  2
Porto

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  1
Porto

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto

Arouca vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arouca

17 %

Draw

17 %

Porto

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
2.33
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Porto

29 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Arouca

12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Porto

3 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  1
Arouca

8 May 2023 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  1
Porto

11 Jan 2023 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Arouca
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Arouca vs Porto last Lineups

Arouca

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Valido
28
T. Esgaio
3
J. Fontán
5
B. Popovic
44
A. Dante
21
T. Fukui
8
D. Simao
19
A. Trezza
14
H. Lee
7
N. Djouahra
23
D. Nandin
11
Pepe
9
S. Aghehowa
17
B. Sainz
8
V. Froholdt
22
A. Varela
10
G. Veiga
13
P. Rosario
5
J. Bednarek
4
J. Kiwior
12
Z. Sanusi
99
D. Costa

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Porto

Missing players

Arouca
Arouca
Defender

J. Fontán

Midfielder

M. Flores

Porto
Porto
Defender

N. Perez

Forward

L. De Jong

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arouca
CD Huachipato Porto
Top Goalscorer
France N. Djouahra (3 Goals)
Uruguay A. Trezza (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Aghehowa (4 Goals)
Best assists
South Korea H. Lee (2 Assists)
Uruguay A. Trezza (2 Assists)
Best assists
Spain G. Veiga (3 Assists)
Portugal A. Costa (3 Assists)

Arouca and Porto Stats in Liga Portugal

Arouca
Arouca
Porto
Porto
33%
Wins
100%
33%
Draw
0%
33%
Losses
0%
3.83
Total goals per match
2.67
1.5
Goals scored per match
2.5
2.33
Goals conceded per match
0.17
67%
Over 2.5
67%
33%
Under 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
17%
0%
Clean Sheet
83%

Arouca - Porto Key Points

  1. In their last three outings, Porto won to nil.
  2. Porto have conceded once all season so far.
  3. Arouca lost their last two matches against Porto.
  4. Porto have won each of their seven matches this season.
  5. In three of the last five meetings with Porto, Arouca failed to score.
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Our Arouca vs Porto Prediction

FC Porto have not only been dominant in this fixture with Arouca, but they’ve also swept aside all their opponents so far this season. The visitors come into this game having won all their seven matches thus far.

Just like they’ve done well in attack, Porto have maintained the same strength in defence. They aren’t letting in many goals; they’ve so far won by a 16-1 margin, and Arouca have to be at their best to arrest this. Our prediction for Arouca v FC Porto is for Porto to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Porto to win to nil

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arouca vs Porto Prediction
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