Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night

MMA - UFC Fight Night

Arnold Allen
17/05/2026 14:00
Melquaziel Costa

Prediction :

 

Melquaziel Costa wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions

The featherweight division is set for a massive shift this Sunday at UFC Fight Night as top-ten staple Arnold "Almighty" Allen looks to defend his territory against the surging Melquaziel "The Dalmatian" Costa. While Costa enters as the underdog, his electric form leaves us backing him in our Allen vs Costa match prediction.

For one, Almighty enters the cage following a frustrating period where he has struggled to find consistency against the absolute best in the world. His most recent outing in January ended in a unanimous decision loss to Jean Silva, a result that many found surprising given his previous standing as a title threat.

Despite the recent 1-3 skid, he remains one of the most technically sound southpaws in the organisation with a high-level boxing game. However, The Dalmatian is coming in with a completely different energy, currently riding a terrifying six-fight winning streak that has seen him dismantle established names with ease.

His last performance was a genuine "Knockout of the Year" contender, as he finished Dan Ige with a spectacular spinning back kick in the very first round this past February. He is currently the most dangerous unranked fighter in the weight class, mixing a 71-inch reach with a chaotic, high-volume striking style that keeps opponents guessing. Costa is our winner.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa Prediction

Arnold Allen - Melquaziel Costa Key Points

  1. Costa is currently enjoying the best form of his career with six consecutive victories.
  2. Allen has lost three of his last four fights, suggesting a potential decline in his ability to handle top-tier pressure.
  3. Costa holds a significant volume advantage, landing an average of 4.38 significant strikes per minute compared to the 3.47 landed by Allen.
  4. Costa possesses a slight reach advantage and a height edge that could prove crucial in the striking exchanges at the Meta Apex.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa Prediction

This main event feels like a changing of the guard in the 145-pound division. While the British fighter has the pedigree and defensive skills to keep this competitive, the momentum is entirely on the Brazilian challenger's side right now.

The Dalmatian is fighting with a level of confidence and creativity that is hard to bet against, especially coming off such a dominant knockout of a durable veteran like Ige. We expect Costa’s volume and unpredictability to eventually overwhelm Allen. Hence, our Arnold Allen vs Melquaziel Costa match prediction is that Melquaziel Costa wins.

Prediction :

 

Melquaziel Costa wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.