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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 14 Russia
Andrey Rublev
06/07/2025 10:50
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in four sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

As we approach the fourth round at Wimbledon, we are starting to get real battles, with seeded players facing off. One such match will see Andrey Rublev square off with Carlos Alcaraz. It is the fifth meeting between them, and the winner meets Nicolas Jarry or Cameron Norrie in the quarter-finals. Read on for our prediction.

After dropping a set in each of the opening two rounds, Rublev finally won in straights in the third. He claimed a 3-0 win against Adrian Mannarino, extending his good run against French players and in the third round here.

The job ahead is tougher as he faces Alcaraz for the first time on grass.

Alcaraz hasn’t brought his ruthless nature to this major; he has seemed lackluster at given points. In his three matches so far, the Spaniard won in straight sets just once, against a low-ranking qualifier, Oliver Tarvet.

He lost the second set in his third-round, four-set win against Jan-Lennard Struff. That was the third set in three matches at Wimbledon that the two-time champion has dropped.

Across his last five matches, the world No. 2 has dropped sets three times. 

Alcaraz has a 21-2 record at Wimbledon, has, this season, won five titles and hasn’t lost a fourth-round match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
8 1.08
William Hill
7.5 1.08
Betway
8 1.08
Ladbrokes
7.5 1.08
Unibet
7.5 1.09
Check all Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in four sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 06/07/2025 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Andrey Rublev has a 41.79% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 10.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 58.21% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 1.09 at Unibet.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 41.79 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Andrey Rublev41.79 %
Carlos Alcaraz58.21 %

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Andrey Rublev Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  1
Lloyd Harris

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  1
Laslo Djere

19 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

17 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

2 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Andrey Rublev
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jan-Lennard Struff
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Oliver Tarvet
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Fabio Fognini
2 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

22 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Jiri Lehecka

21 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Arthur Rinderknech

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Andrey Rublev

33 %

Carlos Alcaraz

67 %

13 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

1 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev
Compare Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz has a 21-2 record at Wimbledon.
  2. Alcaraz is unbeaten in his last 21 matches.
  3. Rublev has two losses in his last 10 matches.
  4. Rublev’s last loss at a major was in the fourth round.
  5. Alcaraz dropped a set or more in six of his last 10 matches.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz’s only concern is the difficulty of winning in straights. The Spaniard is on a run of 21 back-to-back wins and is a favorite to take the head-to-head lead in this series. Twice in the four meetings with Rublev, Alcaraz won, and this time they face off on grass, but he still has the edge.

Rublev will, however, not take this without a fight. The Russian has some momentum, with five straight wins coming here, and failed to win a set just once in 10 matches. Our prediction for Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in four sets.

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in four sets

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Andrey Rublev or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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