Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC 328

MMA - UFC 328

Alexander Volkov
10/05/2026 14:00
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Prediction :

 

Alexander Volkov wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions

The heavyweight division is bracing for a titanic collision this Saturday as the elite veteran Alexander Volkov defends his standing against the surging Waldo Cortes Acosta at UFC 323. The Russian favourite is famous for his surgical striking and massive frame, but faces a challenger who’s riding the hottest streak of his professional career. Read our match prediction.

Drago enters this bout in stellar form following a tactical split decision victory over Jailton Almeida last October. That win extended Volkov’s current success to four wins in his last five outings, proving that his technical kickboxing and massive 80-inch reach remain a nightmare for anyone trying to enter the pocket.

However, Salsa Boy has become the breakout story of the heavyweight class over the last year. He is coming off a massive second-round knockout of the legendary Derrick Lewis in January, which followed a pair of brutal first-round finishes in November.

Training with a newfound aggression, the 17-2-0 Dominican has combined his natural boxing power with improved defensive wrestling. He knows that a win over a veteran of this calibre would immediately catapult him into the championship conversation, and he is determined to use his speed advantage to catch the taller man early.

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Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction

Alexander Volkov - Waldo Cortes Acosta Key Points

  1. Volkov possesses a significant height advantage and a two-inch reach advantage.
  2. Experience heavily favours the veteran Volkov, who has competed in over 50 professional fights compared to just 19 for the younger contender.
  3. Acosta has shown defensive gaps when facing high-volume technical strikers, most notably in his unanimous decision loss to Sergei Pavlovich last August.
  4. Volkov has a 100% takedown defence rate in his last three fights, meaning this will likely be a stand-up battle where his technical edge shines.
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Our Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction

This fight is the ultimate test of whether Drago’s raw power can overcome the polished technique of the Salsa Boy. While Acosta has the explosive strength to end the night with one right hand, Volkov has spent over a decade dismantling power punchers with his patient, long-range style.

We see the Russian utilising his front kicks and jabs to stay outside the danger zone and slowly pick apart the defence of the Dominican. Drago’s ability to maintain composure during high-pressure exchanges should lead to a dominant showing over Waldo. Hence, our Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta prediction is that Alexander Volkov wins.

Prediction :

 

Alexander Volkov wins

 
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