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Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 24 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
30/08/2025 10:00
ATP 14 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Tommy Paul, the 14th seed at this year’s US Open, will play 23rd seed Alexander Bublik in the third round. Their second meeting this season is also their second at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Alexander Bublik is in red-hot form. The Kazakh is having one of his best spells on the tour and arrives for this match having won 10 consecutive matches. His last loss came at Wimbledon, and before that, he had won five in a row.

Bublik, who is yet to lose a set this week, defeated Tristan Schoolkate in the last round by the loss of nine games. This rich vein of form has allowed the 28-year-old to shoot up six places to 18th in the live ranking.

Tommy Paul will likely not be fazed by Bublik’s hot streak as he has a hot streak of his own in this tie. The American has won five of their six duels and is on a four-match winning run in the series.

He won their most recent showdown back in March in Miami in three sets. In their only other showdown at a major, Paul defeated Bublik in straight sets last year at Wimbledon.

To set up this latest showdown, Paul outlasted Nuno Borges in five sets after letting a 2-0 lead slip. A quarter-finalist in Melbourne and Roland Garros, Paul has moved up to 13th in the live ranking.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 2
William Hill
1.8 2
Betway
1.8 2
Ladbrokes
1.8 1.95
Unibet
1.86 1.94
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul odds
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul match is: Tommy Paul wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul game on 30/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 50.9% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.89.
  • Tommy Paul has a 49.1% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 2.05 at Vbet.

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 50.9 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik50.9 %
Tommy Paul49.1 %

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Form

Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Tristan Schoolkate

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Marin Cilic

26 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Arthur Cazaux

25 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Botic Van De Zandschulp

24 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Alexander Shevchenko

23 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Tommy Paul Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Nuno Borges
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Elmer Moller
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Sebastian Ofner
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Johannus Monday
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

0 %

Tommy Paul

100 %

21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

5 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Tommy Paul
3 :  0
Alexander Bublik
Compare Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul with our comparison tool.

Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Paul has won five times previously against Bublik.
  2. Two of Paul’s victories against Bublik have been on hard courts.
  3. Bublik has lost half of his 14 contests on hard courts this year.
  4. Paul has qualified for the US Open fourth round in the last two seasons.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Our prediction for Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul is that Tommy Paul wins the match. Paul has an outstanding record when paired up against Bublik. He has won five of their six duels and hasn’t lost any of their last four showdowns.

Though we are confident of a win for the American, victory will not come easily. This is because Bublik is in red-hot form and arrives having not lost in 10 consecutive outings. Paul, though, should figure out a way past the Kazakh, who often struggles on hard courts.

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul wins the match

 
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Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction
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