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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
We have an All-American clash in round four of the Canadian Open. 26th seed Alex Michelsen takes on unseeded Learner Tien for a place in the quarter-finals of this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Alex Michelsen caused a big surprise on Thursday when beating third seed Lorenzo Musetti in three sets, despite having a cough, it was one of the best results of his career but he remains 33rd in the live rankings.
This is the third match between these two players with the first two shared. Michelsen beat Tien on clay but lost their only hard court match. That was in the Next Gen Finals last year and only four games were needed to win each set.
A win for Michelsen will take the 20-year-old into his second ATP Tour quarter-final of the year. His best performance has been getting to the semi-finals in Delray Beach. The winner of this match will face either eighth seed Holger Rune or 11th-seeded Karen Khachanov.
Learner Tien has moved up to a career-high 55th after reaching the last 16 in Toronto. The 19-year-old has won three matches to date and is yet to drop a set. Round two saw him defeat the 22nd seed Denis Shapovalov.
We tip over 21.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex Michelsen v Learner Tien Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
|
1.85 | 1.95 |
|
|
1.85 | 1.85 |
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|
1.8 | 2.02 |
|
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Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien match is: over 21.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien game on 02/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 56.91% chance to win against Learner Tien according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.94.
- Learner Tien has a 43.09% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 2.02 at Unibet.
Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 56.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 56.91 % |
| Learner Tien | 43.09 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Form
Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
27 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
31 Mar 2025 - ATP Houston
Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien Key Points
- Over 21.5 games have been played in four of Tien's last five matches.
- Four of Michelsen's last five best-of-three-sets matches have seen over 21.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Tien has played one in three of his last four matches.
- Michelsen has played a tie-break in five of his last six matches.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien Prediction
A tight match looks on the cards here. Both players are in good form and look to be the future of the game. In fact, their combined age is six years younger than that of Venus Williams! Michelsen held on for an excellent win over Lorenzo Musetti in the last round.
Learner Tien has also beaten a seeded player this week and is yet to drop a set. A tie-break is a possibility here and our Alex Michelsen v Learner Tien prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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