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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Alex Michelsen is through to his first ever Masters quarter-final. The 26th seed takes on 11th-seeded Karen Khachanov in the outdoor hard court Canadian Open. Can Michelsen continue his good run? Here's our match prediction.
Before this tournament, Michelsen had never made it past the third round of a Masters tournament. He's been in great form in Toronto with the highlight being his three-set win over third seed Lorenzo Musetti.
He followed that round three win with a straight sets victory over unseeded Learner Tien. He's 33rd in the live rankings but a win here will see him climb to 28th. The 20-year-old won his only previous match against Khachanov. and that was in this year's Australian Open.
The winner of this match will face either top seed Alexander Zverev or 18th-seeded defending champion Alexei Popyrin.
Karen Khachanov is having his best run of the year in a hard court tournament. Before this event, he'd failed to get past round three on this surface and has blown hot and cold so far in this tournament.
The 29-year-old needed three sets to get past qualifier Emilio Nava in round three. A better performance came in the last 16 when defeating eighth-seeded Casper Ruud in straight sets. He's up to 14th in the live list.
We tip Michelsen to win over 11.5 games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex Michelsen v Karen Khachanov Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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|
2.7 | 1.4 |
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|
2.8 | 1.44 |
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|
2.77 | 1.45 |
|
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Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov match is: Alex Michelsen to win at least 11.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov game on 04/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 47.27% chance to win against Karen Khachanov according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.85.
- Karen Khachanov has a 52.73% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 1.45 at Vbet.
Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 47.27 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 47.27 % |
| Karen Khachanov | 52.73 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Form
Alex Michelsen and Karen Khachanov Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
27 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
8 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- Michelsen has won at least 11.5 games in five of his last seven best-of-three set matches.
- Michelsen won over 11.5 games in his one previous match against Khachanov.
- Khachanov has lost over 11.5 games in fivw of his last eight hard court matches.
- A tie-break or 7-5 set would boost the chances of our prediction being a winner. Michelsen has played at least one in five of his last seven matches.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Alex Michelsen has struggled in Masters tournaments but finally he's going deep in one. This is his first quarter-final at this level and his third on this surface this year. He has already beaten the third seed and will hope to reach his third ATP Tour semi-final in 2025.
Karen Khachanov won the Masters hard court tournament played in Doha last year. The Russian has struggled this year though and still has consistency problems. Our Alex Michelsen v Karen Khachanov prediction is Alex Michelsen to win at least 11.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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