Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open

Prediction published on 27/09/2025, 14:42  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 27/09/2025 at 15:47 in Tennis Predictions

The best of the best in the form of Alex De Minaur and Jakub Mensik battle it out in the quarterfinal of the Beijing Open. But for us, this game still has the potential to be a one-sided affair. See our best pick in this Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik match prediction.

It’s not surprising that we're backing the world number 8, Minaur, to beat 19th-ranked Mensik in straight sets. And it's not even about rankings. They've met three times before, and Minaur took all three victories, winning in straight sets over the last two.

What's also informing our decision is the winning and losing pattern for both players. In Minaur’s last five three-set victories, he won four games in two sets. Then, for Mensik, in his last five three-set defeats, he failed to score a set in any, losing four in two sets and retiring in the other after going down 1-0.

Yes, this bet failed to cash in both of their last games, where Minaur beat Arthur Rinderknech 2-1 and Mensik beat Arthur Cazaux in the same manner. But it's a matter of variance, seeing as only two of Mensik's last ten three-set games actually finished in three sets. Likewise, only four of Minaur’s last 13 three-set singles went to the third set.