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Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP 69 USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic
17/09/2025 02:00
ATP 85 Italy
Luca Nardi

Prediction :

 

Total Sets - 2

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

Round 32 of the ATP 250 Hangzhou on hardcourt provides a chance for Aleksandar Kovacevic to even the scores when he faces Luca Nardi. Despite Nardi winning their only H2H, the books are favouring Kovacevic to come out on top. See what we think is most likely to happen in our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi match prediction.

We’re staying away from the straight win bet in this crucial knockout game and backing the two-set bet instead. Their only H2H, on red clay in April, ended with a 2-0 win for Luca Nardi. In that game, Nardi took early momentum and never let go when he won sets 1 and 2 by 6-2 and 6-3, respectively. With that kind of showing, it wouldn’t be out of place to see Nardi taking a win here, too.

But we’re sticking with two-sets, which is a pattern that’s been prominent in both players' recent games. 11 of Nardi’s last 13 singles finished in straight sets, with one being a ‘retired’ victory after leading Jakub Mensik 6-2 in the first set. Likewise, all five of Kovacevic’s last singles have ended in straight sets, and also in 15 of his last 21.

Both players are fresh off a Grand Slam loss, but what’s more interesting is that the scorelines were 3-0 for each player, with Kovacevic falling to Coleman Wong and Nardi to Tomas Machac.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aleksandar Kovacevic v Luca Nardi Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 2
William Hill
1.73 2.1
Betway
1.75 2.05
Ladbrokes
1.73 2
Unibet
1.75 2.08
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Who will win the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi match is: Total Sets - 2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi game on 17/09/2025 of the current ATP Hangzhou Open season:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 43.74% chance to win against Luca Nardi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
  • Luca Nardi has a 56.26% probability of winning facing Aleksandar Kovacevic ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at William Hill.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 43.74 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Aleksandar Kovacevic43.74 %
Luca Nardi56.26 %

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Form

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Luca Nardi Last Matches

Aleksandar Kovacevic Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  3
Coleman Wong

19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

18 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

8 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Hamad Medjedovic
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

28 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Tristan Boyer
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Frances Tiafoe
Luca Nardi Last matches
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jakub Mensik
abort
Luca Nardi

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

8 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Thiago Agustin Tirante

6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Alexander Blockx

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Compare Aleksandar Kovacevic and Luca Nardi with our comparison tool.

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi Key Points

  1. The only H2H between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Luca Nardi ended in two sets.
  2. Over Nardi’s last 13 singles, 11 finished with straight sets.
  3. All five of Kovacevic’s last five singles ended in straight sets.
  4. Of Kovacevic’s last 21 singles, 15 finished in straight sets.
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Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Prediction

The betting odds say Kovacevic is more likely to get his revenge than Nardi taking a second victory over his opponent. But given Nardi’s  6-2, 6-3 win over Kovacevic just a few months ago, it’s hard to agree with Kovacevic being the outright favourite. So we’re sticking with a bet that’s been rather prominent for both players.

Considering that 100% of Kovacevic’s last five games and over 80% of Nardi’s last 13 games have ended in straight sets, we’re backing this bet again. Hence, our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi prediction is Total Sets - 2.

Prediction :

 

Total Sets - 2

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi Prediction
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