Alavés vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Basque sides Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alaves will square off this weekend in La Liga. Sociedad will head into this game sitting 10th on 16 points, while their hosts, Alaves, are 14th, with 15 points. Read on for our prediction of this match.
The past few matches have exposed Alaves’ soft underbelly, losing all the latest three in La Liga. They had a brief reprieve in the Copa Del Rey as they overcame Portugalete 3-0.
Now they get back to the big time and will hope to stabilize on a home run that has three wins in the last seven outings. The 1-0 loss to Celta Vigo marked a second winless home game without scoring.
Sociedad also warmed up for this game with a win in the Copa Del Rey. They saw off Reus FCR 2-0 to recover from their 3-2 loss to Villarreal in their latest league game.
That defeat is their only one across the last eight matches, a run in which they won five times. The visitors lost each of their last two matches against Alaves but will come into this one better prepared.
They haven't tasted defeat away from home in the last five matches. Though two of them were Copa Del Rey assignments, they still add to their positive momentum coming here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.85 | 3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.74 | 2.93 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.94 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Sociedad wins & under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Alavés and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.12% for a win of Alavés against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.92 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Real Sociedad is 30.39% with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Alavés with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
Alavés - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 40.5% | 2.9 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.99% | 1.96 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 24.78% | 6 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Real Sociedad Form
Alavés and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
24 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -2 |
|
18
|
19 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -9 |
Alavés and Real Sociedad Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2022 - LaLiga
Alavés against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Fernandez
G. Swiderski
DefenderY. Enriquez
M. Diarra
MidfielderC. Benavidez
C. Alena
C. Vicente
M. Diaz
A. Buenadicha
T. Martinez
I. Hernandez Canas
U. Marrero
T. Folgado Null
DefenderA. Munoz
D. Caleta-Car
A. Odriozola
MidfielderP. Marin
L. Sucic
B. Turrientes
A. Zakharyan
J. Karrikaburu
A. Barrenetxea
M. Goti
Missing players
A. Blanco
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderI. Zubeldia
Y. Herrera
ForwardM. Oyarzabal
O. Oskarsson
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Real Sociedad
C. Vicente
(4 Goals)
, 
L. Boye
(4 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(6 Goals)
C. Alena
(3 Assists)
M. Oyarzabal
(3 Assists)
,
A. Barrenetxea
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Kubo
(3 Assists)
Alavés - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Sociedad lost just once in the last eight outings.
- Alaves have lost three times in their last four matches.
- Sociedad are unbeaten in their last five away matches.
- Half of Alaves’ last 10 matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Alaves scored more than a goal in just three of their seven home games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Alavés vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Recent matches between these two sides have been tight affairs, defined by low scores. Seven of their last 10 meetings produced under 2.5 goals, and there are suggestions this too may follow in that line.
Five of Deportivo Alaves’ last 10 matches produced under 2.5 goals, and they scored more than once in just three of their last seven home matches. This will be a good stat for Real Sociedad, who have had an impressive away run lately. Our prediction for Alaves v Real Sociedad is that Real Sociedad wins & under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Real Sociedad
| Alavés vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 2.99 | 2.92 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.05 | -4.7% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 2.72 | 2.9 | +6.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.8% and is now 34.5% (-2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Alavés vs. Real Sociedad game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
