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Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

ATP 76 Australia
Adam Walton
16/10/2025 04:40
ATP 14 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

 

Over 9.5 1st Total Games

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

World No.76, Adam Walton, faces a tough task as he battles world No.14, Daniil Medvedev, in the RO16 of the Almaty Open. With Walton already defying the odds in their only meeting and the value for Medvedev to win being too low, we're going for the total games bet. See our best Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev match prediction below.

Adam Walton, despite being the overwhelming underdog in their previous meeting, shocked Medvedev with a 2-1 victory. But what stood out to us was the number of total games in the first set, which was 13. Our bet in this game is for a total of at least 10 games in the first set.

This has been a prominent pattern in most of their recent games. For Walton, they've been at least 10 games in the first set over three of his last four singles and six of his last eight. Walton also managed 13 games in their first set of his RO32 win over Tristan Schoolkate.

Now, for Medvedev, this bet has won in his last three singles and in four of his last six. In his last game, the 2-1 win against Rinderknech, they just hit the mark with ten total sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Adam Walton v Daniil Medvedev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 1.14
Betway
5.5 1.15
Ladbrokes
5.5 1.12
Unibet
5.75 1.14
NetBet
5.4 1.09
Check all Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev odds
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Who will win the Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Over 9.5 1st Total Games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev game on 16/10/2025 of the current Almaty Open season:

  • Adam Walton has a 33.01% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 5.75.
  • Daniil Medvedev has a 66.99% probability of winning facing Adam Walton ⭐ with odds of 1.17 at 22bet.

Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adam Walton has a 33.01 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Adam Walton33.01 %
Daniil Medvedev66.99 %

Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Adam Walton Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

14 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Tristan Schoolkate
1 :  2
Adam Walton

9 Oct 2025 - Jinan, China

Brandon Holt
2 :  0
Adam Walton

7 Oct 2025 - Jinan, China

Fajing Sun
1 :  2
Adam Walton

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Mattia Bellucci

22 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Rei Sakamoto
2 :  0
Adam Walton

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Dalibor Svrcina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

30 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Daniil Medvedev

Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adam Walton
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev
Compare Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev with our comparison tool.

Adam Walton - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. This bet won in the only meeting between Walton and Medvedev.
  2. The 1st set of three of Walton’s last four singles saw at least 10 games.
  3. This bet won in six of Walton’s last eight singles.
  4. The 1st set of three of Medvedev’s last three games and four of his last six singles featured 10 or more games.
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Our Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

As we stated earlier, Walton has defied these very odds against Medveded in their only meeting, which was just two months ago. So, instead of bidding on that tricky bet, we're going for the over 9.5 total 1st games, which won in that meeting.

Moreover, we've seen this bet win in three of Walton's last four singles and in Medvedev’s last three singles in a row. Hence, our Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev prediction is Over 9.5 1st Total Games.

Prediction :

 

Over 9.5 1st Total Games

 
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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Almaty Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
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