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Wolves vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Wolves
26/10/2025 10:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Bottom of the table Wolverhampton Wanderers are already five points from safety. Wolves are still without a league win and this weekend are home to Burnley who are 17th in the Premier League. Here's our match prediction.

It's been a terrible start to the season for Wolves with only a couple of points earned so far. It's early in the season to call this match a six-pointer but Wolves really need to get a win at Molyneux on Sunday or be left even further adrift at the bottom of the table.

Burnley have become a yo-yo club in recent years and will want to avoid another immediate return to the Championship. The Clarets are two points above the bottom three and five ahead of their opponents. As you will read in the form section of this preview, it's their away form that needs improving. Like their opponents, they are also struggling for goals and a low-scoring match looks likely here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Wolves v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.95 3.3 4.2
Betfred
1.95 3.4 4.33
William Hill
1.95 3.3 4
Betway
2 3.2 4
Unibet
1.92 3.45 4.1
Check all Wolves vs Burnley odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Wolves vs Burnley match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Wolves and Burnley in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.49% for a win of Wolves against Burnley with odds of 2 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Burnley is 17.92% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Wolves with odds of 4.33 at Betfred.

Wolves vs Burnley Form

Wolves and Burnley's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17
Burnley
Burnley
7 8 2 1 5 -6
20
Wolves
Wolves
2 8 0 2 6 -11

Wolves and Burnley Last Matches

Wolves
Wolves Last matches
L L W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  0
Wolves

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Wolves

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Everton

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves
L W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Everton

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Everton

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  2
West Ham

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  0
Wolves

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Wolves

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Wolves

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
2 :  1
Wolves

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Wolves
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

14 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool
W W L D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

14 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Sunderland
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
3 :  2
Burnley

Wolves vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolves

33 %

Draw

33 %

Burnley

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
17%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Burnley

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Wolves

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  0
Burnley

24 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Wolves

1 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  0
Burnley

25 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Burnley
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Wolves - Burnley: Form Analysis

Eight games into the new season, Wolves are yet to win a league fixture. The poor run continues a disappointing end to last season and they've now gone 12 league games without a win. Just two points have been earned and they are five points from safety.

Last weekend saw them lose 2-0 at Sunderland. That ended a run of two draws against Tottenham and Brighton. Scoring is a big problem after the summer departure of Cunha. Just five goals have been scored in their eight league matches.

Home form hasn't been helping Wolves this season. Only one point has been earned from their three league matches. After losses to Manchester City, Everton and Leeds, Wolves drew their most recent home league fixture against Brighton 1-1. Their last three league games have all had under 2.5 goals scored.

Burnley are struggling on their travels.

Burnley would be glad to finish the season in their current 17th position. They have seven points from their eight league games with a couple of wins. However, all their points have been earned at Turf Moor and against struggling sides.

On the road, Burnley have been beaten in all four of their league games and they've only scored four goals.

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Wolves vs Burnley last Lineups

Wolves

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

31
S. Johnstone
2
M. Doherty
4
S. Bueno
37
L. Krejci
3
H. Bueno
5
M. Munetsi
7
Andre
8
J. Gomes
10
J. Arias
9
J. Larsen
21
R. Gomes
19
Z. Flemming
11
J. Anthony
16
F. Luis
24
J. Cullen
7
J. Bruun Larsen
3
Q. Hartman
5
M. Esteve
6
A. Tuanzebe
8
L. Ugochukwu
2
K. Walker
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Burnley

Missing players

Wolves
Wolves
Midfielder

J. Bellegarde

Forward

L. Chiwome

H. Hee-chan

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

J. Bruun Larsen

L. Foster

Wolves & Burnley Squad Analysis

Not winning a Premier League game is of course a terrible statistic for Wolves. Another is the lack of goals being scored with only five being put past their opponents in eight league fixtures. 

Larsen needs to improve his form.

Cunha is now at Old Trafford and Jorgen Strand Larsen is not firing on all cylinders. Fans weren't happy with him last week at Sunderland but he revealed an Achilles injury is holding him back. 

Out last week were both Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Hwang-Hee-Chan. They remain doubtful for the visit of Burnley.

Burnley did win last weekend but need to start earning points on the road. They are yet to achieve an away point since their return to the Premier League this season.  They have some injury problems including Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts.

Lyle Foster didn't play against Leeds last weekend but is likely to be back against Wolves. Jaidon Anthony is fit and remains a key player for the Clarets. He's scored four goals for Burnley this season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolves
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Gomes (2 Goals)
Norway J. Larsen (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Anthony (4 Goals)
Best assists
Spain F. Lopez Gonzalez (1 Assists)
Norway D. Wolfe (1 Assists)
Zimbabwe M. Munetsi (1 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (2 Assists)

Wolves and Burnley Stats in Premier League

Wolves
Wolves
Burnley
Burnley
0%
Wins
25%
25%
Draw
13%
75%
Losses
63%
2.63
Total goals per match
3
0.63
Goals scored per match
1.13
2
Goals conceded per match
1.88
38%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Under 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sheet
25%

Wolves - Burnley Key Points

  1. The last three Wolves league games have all seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Between them, these two clubs have scored only 14 goals in 16 games.
  3. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the eight league games Wolves have played this season.
  4. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last five games between these two clubs.
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Our Wolves vs Burnley Prediction

Wolves are in deep trouble at the bottom of the Premier League. They are still without a win after eight games of the new season. Scoring goals is a major problem for them with only five in this season's Premier League.

This weekend sees them host Burnley who are outside the bottom three but not on away form. All four of their away league games have ended in defeat with only four goals scored. Our main Wolves v Burnley prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Wolves vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions

Wolves to win

Odds 1.95
Recent draws with Spurs and Brighton will have given Wolves some hope of survival. They are still struggling for goals but play a Burnley team that struggle on the road and could get that first league win.
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Wolves vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions

This Premier League match is being played on Sunday October 26. It will kick-off at 14:00 UK time.
This is a home league fixture for Wolves and will be played at Molyneux in Wolverhampton.
Sky Sports will be showing this Premier League game live and a subscription is required. You can access live text commentary and updated statistics on our Premier League livescore. All perfect help for your in-play betting.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolves vs Burnley Prediction

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