England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
West Bromwich Albion and Derby County have had contrasting runs in the early stages of the Championship. They are set to face off in the fourth round, with West Brom hosting the Rams. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
The Baggies are among the four sides yet to taste defeat in the Championship. This game will be very timely for West Brom, as they are seeking revenge against Derby.
In the League Cup meeting between them earlier this season, Derby won on penalties in what stands as West Brom’s only defeat so far. The hosts have three wins in their opening four Championship matches, a good foundation ahead of this tricky encounter.
Derby have a good record against West Brom and will be keen on inflicting another loss in a span of just over a month. In the last six meetings between these two, Derby are unbeaten, with four wins.
They will hope to carry that run into this game, but this time they find a solid West Brom that's not only eyeing the points but also revenge.
Seeing that they are winless in the last six matches across all competitions, this might not be the week Derby get their first win of the season.
They got close against Ipswich last time out, and surely, they will take lessons from conceding deep in injury time to draw 2-2.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Brom v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.25 | 5.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between West Brom and Derby County?
Our prediction for the West Brom vs Derby County match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between West Brom and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.73% for a win of West Brom against Derby County with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Brom vs Derby County is 34.2% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs West Brom with odds of 5.1 at Unibet.
West Brom - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Brom Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom wins | 47.73% | 1.8 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.84% | 2.3 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 84.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: West Brom | 24.54% | 4.5 at Unibet |
West Brom vs Derby County Form
West Brom and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
14
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
West Brom and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
West Brom vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
8 Jul 2020 - Championship
5 May 2019 - Championship
West Brom against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
A. Williams
ForwardT. Bany
D. Dike
C. Nelson
S. Langas
O. Beck
MidfielderL. Thompson
ForwardC. Blackett Taylor
Most goals and assists
West Brom
Derby County
I. Price
(5 Goals)
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
M. Johnston
(3 Assists)
J. Ward
(3 Assists)
, 
P. Agyemang
(3 Assists)
West Brom - Derby County Key Points
- Both teams scored in Derby County’s last five matches.
- Both these sides scored in their last three meetings.
- Three of West Brom’s last four matches saw goals on either end.
- In their last five home matches in the league, West Brom managed one clean sheet.
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Our West Brom vs Derby County Prediction
West Bromwich Albion are doing well so far. Their only negative is the fact that they’ve never been known for tight defenses. However, with two 1-0 wins this season, there is some hope. This is a revenge match, and we expect the Baggies to go all out against Derby County.
The danger with that strategy is that it leaves spaces to be exploited, and Derby might take advantage. The Rams scored in each of their last five matches but managed no clean sheet. Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion v Derby County is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Brom Derby County
| West Brom vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom wins | 1.86 | 1.68 | -9.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Derby County wins | 4.1 | 5 | +22.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- West Brom is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.8% and is now 59.5% (5.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
