USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
Co-hosts USA take on Bosnia and Herzegovina in the last 32 of the 2026 World Cup. The Americans will be aiming to reach the last 16 and a tie against either Belgium or Senegal. The Stars and Stripes score plenty of goals but struggle at the back and our prediction here is both teams to score.
When the World Cup was last held in the USA, they made it to the last 16. Their best run in this tournament came in 2002 when the Yanks were quarter-finalists. To retain the American public's interest in this tournament, it is important that the USA national team keeps winning games. They won their first two matches in their group and that saw them qualify with one game to play. That's why wholesale changes were made for the 3-2 loss to Turkey.
Bosnia and Herzegovina made it into the knockout stages as one of the eight best third-placed sides. They finished third in Group B behind Switzerland and Canada. A 3-1 win over Qatar ensured they progressed to the last 32. The Dragons are in the knockout stages of the World Cup for the first time. It hasn't been the best of World Cup tournaments to date for European nations, so the Dragons will be hoping to cause a surprise and add to the European contingent in the last 16.
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USA v Bosnia Herzegovina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.2 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.36 | 7.21 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.3 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.2 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Bosnia Herzegovina?
Our prediction for the USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/07/2026 between USA and Bosnia Herzegovina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.63% for a win of USA against Bosnia Herzegovina with odds of 1.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina is 33.87% with odds of 5.45 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Bosnia Herzegovina vs USA with odds of 9.4 at 888Starz.
USA - Bosnia Herzegovina Prediction and Best Odds:
| USA Bosnia Herzegovina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 33.87% | 5.45 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.09% | 1.86 at BC Game |
| Both Team To Score | 80.95% | 2 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 14.05% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina Form
USA and Bosnia Herzegovina Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
USA - Bosnia Herzegovina: Form Analysis
The Stars and Stripes made an impressive start to this World Cup. The co-hosts beat Paraguay 4-1 with Balogun scoring two of them. One of their four goals was an own goal and another was scored when they beat Australia 2-0 to confirm their place in the last 32 as group winners.
With that being so, the Yanks decided to make nine changes to their starting line-up for the game against Turkey. Despite that, they took a third minute lead but couldn't hold onto it; The game looked destined to end in a draw before the Turks scored a 98th minute winner.
Too many goals being conceded.
USA have lost four of their last seven games and conceded 12 goals in those losses.
Both teams have scored in nine of their last 11 international fixtures.
Bosnia and Herzegovina had to win their final group game to confirm their place in the knockout stages. The Golden Lillies began their group with a 1-1 draw against Canada after taking the lead. A disappointing 4-1 loss to Switzerland followed with their only goal being scored in the 97th minute.
It all went down to their final match against Qatar and they managed to win that 3-1. This is the first time they have made it out of the group stages. Bosnia and Herzegovina had been unbeaten for nine games before losing to Switzerland but had drawn six games in a row.
All but one of their last 12 matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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USA against Bosnia Herzegovina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
C. Brady
M. Turner
DefenderM. Robinson
J. Scally
M. Arfsten
A. Trusty
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Berhalter
T. Weah
B. Aaronson
R. Pepi
A. Zendejas
H. Wright
M. Zlomislic
M. Jurkas
DefenderA. Malic
D. Hadzikadunic
N. Mujakic
MidfielderE. Mahmic
I. Basic
A. Memic
B. Tahirovic
A. Hadziahmetovic
D. Burnic
ForwardS. Bazdar
E. Bajraktarevic
J. Lukic
H. Tabakovic
Missing players
M. McKenzie
MidfielderC. Roldan
USA & Bosnia Herzegovina Squad Analysis
A 3-2 loss to Turkey wasn't a disaster for the Stars and Stripes. The group had already been won and their coach Mauricio Pochettino instantly saw the advantages that could bring his squad. He could protect those players that had been booked, give others a rest and give fringe players some time on the pitch.
Good reasons to leave out their best players.
Now they prepare for the knockout stages and no doubt those players rested for the Turkey game will be making their way back into the starting line-up. That will include their top scorer Christian Pulisic who was only a sub against Turkey.
Folarin Balogun has been their scoring hero to date with a couple of goals in the group stages. The Monaco player is fast becoming a transfer target for many top clubs and another big performance here would increase the interest being shown.
They do have some injury concerns with worries about Mark McKenazie (who has a foot injury) Auston Trusty (ankle problem) and Christian Roldan (muscle injury). They will be checked on before the final line-up is announced.
While they scored eight goals in the group stages, they conceded four times. Their defence is not the best around and that will be a concern for them as they face stronger sides. Their last four defeats have seen 12 goals put past them.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have certainly had their struggles to get to the last 32. The Dragons had to go into the play-offs to qualify and beat Wales on a penalty shootout. After earning just one point from their first two games in these finals, a 3-1 win over Qatar was required to see them through as one of the best third place teams.
They have a doubt over the fitness of Amar Dedic who has a thigh injury. Aside from that their squad is in pretty good health ahead of this World Cup last 32 tie against one of the co-hosts. Available again is Tarik Muharemovic who didn't play against Qater after being sent off against Switzerland. Amar Dedic (thigh) is viewed as a doubt at this stage of proceedings, but the Dragons are otherwise in strong shape in terms of their squad.
Most goals and assists
USA
Bosnia Herzegovina
F. Balogun
(3 Goals)
E. Mahmic
(2 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tillman
(1 Assists)
,
A. Freeman
(1 Assists)
,
S. Berhalter
(1 Assists)
S. Kolasinac
(1 Assists)
,
D. Hadzikadunic
(1 Assists)
,
I. Basic
(1 Assists)
USA - Bosnia Herzegovina Key Points
- 11 of Bosnia's last 12 matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in nine of the last 11 games the USA has played.
- Four of the last seven matches played in World Cup finals by the USA saw both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches Bosnia and Herzegovina have played in the World Cup finals.
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Our USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina Prediction
With most of their first-choice line-up being rested for their final group match, USA are in a good position in this last 32 tie in the World Cup. The Stars and Stripes have already won two matches and despite all the changes, they were unlucky to lose to Turkey 3-2.
Bosnia and Herzegovina were the fifth best ranked third--placed side. Only one of their three group games were won as they defeated Qatar 3-1. Nine of their last games have seen both teams score. Our main USA v Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is BTTS.
USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina Alternative Predictions
USA wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA Bosnia Herzegovina
| USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 1.42 | 1.4 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.55 | 5.45 | +19.8% |
| Bosnia Herzegovina wins | 6.4 | 9.4 | +46.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.0% and is now 18.3% (-3.6%)
USA vs Bosnia Herzegovina - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
