Africa - African Nations Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions
A dramatic final Group C game at the African Nations Championship (Chan) delivered Uganda to the quarter-finals. The co-hosts finished top of the pool and will be entertaining cup holders Senegal in that quarter-final. We have a prediction for the match below.
Uganda had a slow start to the competition, falling 3-0 to Algeria, but recovered in due course to top their group on seven points. Their final group game was the most entertaining, as they played to a six-goal thriller with South Africa.
The co-hosts led 1-0, then were forced to come from 3-1 down to draw 3-3, a result that saw them go top.
While Senegal are looking to successfully defend the Chan title, Uganda are playing in the knockouts for the first time ever. Senegal advanced courtesy of a second-place finish in Group D.
They managed five points, a similar tally as Sudan, and they may need to improve on their attack. In their three matches from Group D, Senegal managed just two goals, though they conceded only once.
It may worry the reigning champions that their opponents managed eight goals at the group stage. Senegal will have to be cautious in this match, as they lost their last two matches against Uganda. The winner here will proceed to the semis to play Tanzania or Morocco.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uganda v Senegal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 2.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.62 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.7 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Uganda vs Senegal match is: draw or Uganda to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Uganda and Senegal in African Nations Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.43% for a win of Uganda against Senegal with odds of 3.04 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Senegal is 25.12% with odds of 2.89 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Uganda with odds of 3.17 at 22bet.
Uganda - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uganda Senegal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 41.44% | 3.17 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 79.49% | 1.31 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 16.67% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Senegal | 19.38% | 6.75 at Unibet |
Uganda vs Senegal Form
Uganda and Senegal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Uganda vs Senegal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
5 Jul 2019 - AFCON
Uganda - Senegal Key Points
- Senegal have one win in their last five matches.
- Uganda have beaten Senegal in their last two meetings.
- Uganda are coming off two wins in the group stage action.
- Four of Senegal’s matches across the last 10 were drawn.
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Our Uganda vs Senegal Prediction
Senegal have seemed short in attack at this competition. They will be facing Uganda, who have not only beaten them recently but have also done well at this event. With the push from the home fans, the Uganda Cranes will be looking to continue with their good run.
Senegal will not be pushovers though. They will be looking to avenge their loss to Uganda in the last edition, in 2023. Going by the two nations’ performances, our prediction for Uganda v Senegal is for a draw or Uganda to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uganda Senegal
| Uganda vs Senegal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins | 2.6 | 2.88 | +10.8% |
| Draw | 2.7 | 2.35 | -13.0% |
| Senegal wins | 2.8 | 2.9 | +3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Senegal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 34.5% (-1.2%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Uganda vs. Senegal game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Uganda and Senegal when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on African Nations Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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