Turkiye vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Group D engagements of the 2026 World Cup conclude on Thursday in California as the already-eliminated Turkey play co-hosts, the USA, who have already confirmed progression as section winners. This match result has no impact on the group standings, with the 'Crescent Stars' (L2) set to finish fourth and the 'Stars and Stripes' (W2) guaranteed to finish first. With nothing to play for, will Turkey show up and leave the tournament with some pride intact?
Losses to Australia (2-0) and Paraguay (1-0) hurt Turkey the most, as they crashed out of the tournament with nothing to show. They now face the ignominy of going back home without even a goal after aggregating 62 shots in the first two matches.
The USA lived up to the home fans' expectations, winning both their games convincingly. The other results in the group mean that even if they lose here, neither Paraguay nor Australia can catch them at the top. Will that help the hosts to play with more freedom and continue their winning momentum? More on that, team news and analysis in our match predictions.
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Turkiye v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.85 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.61 | 4.25 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.4 | 4.04 | 1.95 |
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3.4 | 4.04 | 1.95 |
|
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3.61 | 4.25 | 1.99 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Turkiye and USA?
Our prediction for the Turkiye vs USA match is: USA wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/06/2026 between Turkiye and USA in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.91% for a win of Turkiye against USA with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkiye vs USA is 5.22% with odds of 4.25 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.87% chance ⭐ for a win of USA vs Turkiye with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
Turkiye vs USA Form
Turkiye and USA's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Turkiye and USA Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Turkiye vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Turkiye - USA: Form Analysis
Turkey conceded one of the fastest World Cup goals ever, clocked at 64 seconds, and couldn't recover from that in a 1-0 loss to Paraguay on matchday two. There was no shortage of intent though, as they had nearly 79% possession and had 32 shots, although only five were on target.
That result made it two defeats in a row for the Turks, whose prior run of four consecutive wins coming into the tournament has raised expectations of staying in the knockout race.
Turkey have lost three of their last four World Cup matches.
The USA were clinical in their 2-0 win over Australia on matchday two, to go with the 4-1 thrashing of Paraguay on matchday one. These results made it the first instance since 1930 that the United States have won two consecutive games at the World Cup.
A crucial factor in the USA's success has been own goals, with the co-hosts becoming the first team in the history of the World Cup to benefit from own goals in two consecutive games.
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Turkiye vs USA last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bayindir
M. Gunok
DefenderZ. Celik
C. Soyuncu
S. Akaydin
O. Kabak
E. Elmali
MidfielderK. Ayhan
S. Ozcan
O. Kokcu
ForwardC. Uzun
O. Aydin
I. Kahveci
D. Gul
B. Yilmaz
C. Brady
M. Turner
DefenderM. Arfsten
A. Trusty
M. McKenzie
J. Scally
M. Robinson
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Berhalter
C. Roldan
ForwardT. Weah
H. Wright
A. Zendejas
B. Aaronson
Missing players
Y. Akgun
C. Roldan
Turkiye & USA Squad Analysis
Turkey have no major injury issues in their squad, although Kenan Yildiz has been nursing a calf knock, which limited his participation in the first two games. That leaves them vulnerable on the left wing, although Yildiz played the full game against Paraguay.
The 'Crescent Stars' have usually lined up in their traditional 4-2-3-1 shape, with Kerem Akturkoglu starting as the lone striker. Even Real Madrid's Arda Guler, playing behind the striker, was unable to show his ability as Turkey continued to struggle for goals.
Turkey had an xG of 2.17 against Paraguay!
The USA are sweating over the availability of Christian Pulisic, who missed their last game due to a calf injury. Although he returned to full training, Pulisic could be rested, keeping in mind the upcoming fixtures. The co-hosts are also likely to look at and manage four players who are on one yellow card each.
The absence of Pulisic has seen the USA line up in a 3-5-2 formation, although they have usually preferred a 4-2-3-1 system. That would leave Folarin Balogun as the focal point of their attacks, although Giovanni Reyna will be targeting more minutes after playing just nine minutes this tournament.
Turkiye - USA Key Points
- The USA have won three of their last four matches.
- Turkey lost both their matches in this World Cup edition.
- Turkey had 62 shots without scoring in their first two games of this World Cup.
- Turkey lost three of their last four World Cup matches.
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Our Turkiye vs USA Prediction
It was a disappointing tournament for Turkey, who came in with expectations of at least finishing third in their section. Instead, with no goals to show in their two defeats, they have crashed out and are playing this matchday three fixture only for pride. The USA, on the other hand, have confirmed their place in the knockouts as group winners and could be planning for crucial games ahead.
Momentum is likely to be key for the co-hosts, and based on current form, our Turkiye vs USA prediction is USA wins.
Turkiye vs USA Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 and BTTS
The last four matches between these sides ended in 2-1 scorelines, both teams winning two games each. Although Turkey are yet to hit a goal this tournament, their intent has been obvious, and it's about time they change that stat. Back both teams to score and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Turkiye vs. USA game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the World Cup match between Turkiye and USA when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
Turkiye vs USA - FAQs
The Turkiye vs USA World Cup match will be shown live on TRT in Turkey, while Fox Sports and Telemundo are the official broadcasters in the United States. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
