Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in World Cup Predictions
Netherlands have scored seven goals across their first two Group F matches at this World Cup, while Tunisia have shipped nine at the other end of the pitch. Goals have followed both sides throughout the group stage, and we're expecting plenty more when these two finally meet on Thursday at Arrowhead Stadium.
Ronald Koeman's Oranje top Group F on four points, having thrashed Sweden 5-1 following their 2-2 stalemate with Japan. Netherlands now need just a point to confirm first place ahead of the knockouts. In contrast, Tunisia, the most-anticipated African team following their stellar qualifying campaign, arrived already eliminated after winning zero points from two games.
Most interesting, though, are the nine goals conceded by the Eagles of Carthage's in just two games. A team that went their entire qualifying round without conceding a goal as the first team ever, is now on track to finish the group stages with the most goals conceded.
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Tunisia v Netherlands Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
33 | 11.75 | 1.05 |
|
|
23 | 8.28 | 1.15 |
|
|
22 | 10 | 1.1 |
|
|
27 | 10.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
22 | 8.28 | 1.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tunisia and Netherlands?
Our prediction for the Tunisia vs Netherlands match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/06/2026 between Tunisia and Netherlands in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.57% for a win of Tunisia against Netherlands with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tunisia vs Netherlands is 30.16% with odds of 501 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Netherlands vs Tunisia with odds of 1.17 at Betway.
Tunisia - Netherlands Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tunisia Netherlands Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 51.27% | 1.17 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.07% | 1.65 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 2.6 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Netherlands/Netherlands | 22.36% | 1.54 at 1xbet |
Tunisia vs Netherlands Form
Tunisia and Netherlands's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
Tunisia and Netherlands Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Tunisia - Netherlands: Form Analysis
The Netherlands have grown into this tournament rather than stormed out of the gates. A 2-2 draw with Japan in their opener was a tense, error-strewn watch, but Koeman's side responded in their second match by putting five goals past Sweden in a crushing 5-1 victory.
Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay have both been heavily involved in that attacking improvement, and the Oranje now look like the most dangerous side left in Group F heading into the finale.
Tunisia have failed to keep a clean sheet in either of their two matches at this World Cup.
Tunisia's tournament has unravelled in the opposite direction. A 5-1 defeat to Sweden in their opener cost Sabri Lamouchi his job, and Herve Renard's first match in interim charge ended in a 4-0 defeat to Japan.
Their only goal of the tournament came from centre-back Omar Rekik against Sweden. And that’s hardly the platform Renard wanted to build from with Tunisia already eliminated and pride the only thing left to play for.
With both sides shipping goals freely and the Netherlands' attack finally clicking, conditions look perfect for another high-scoring affair in Kansas City.
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Tunisia against Netherlands Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Chamakh
S. Ben Hessen
DefenderM. Ben Ouanes
O. Rekik
R. Chikhaoui
D. Bronn
MidfielderK. Ayari
S. Tounekti
M. Hadj Mahmoud
F. Chaouat
E. Achouri
R. Elloumi
E. Saad
R. Roefs
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Geertruida
M. Wieffer
M. van de Ven
J. Hato
MidfielderQ. Timber
T. Koopmeiners
M. De Roon
J. Kluivert
G. Til
ForwardC. Summerville
N. Lang
W. Weghorst
M. Depay
Tunisia & Netherlands Squad Analysis
Captain Ellyes Skhiri, the Eintracht Frankfurt midfielder with 81 caps, remains the side's most experienced figure, while Burnley's Hannibal Mejbri offers energy and craft in midfield.
But, lapses at the back that has caused Tunisia their dream World Cup campaign.
Abdelmouhib Chamakh managed only one save from 13 shots in the 5-1 loss to Sweden.
2nd-choice keeper, Aymen Dahmen replaced Chamakh, but still only managed to save one of Japan’s 11 shots, of which four became goals.
Their defensive identity has all but survived contact with the tournament itself, and Renard has had no time to organise a side he inherited mid-competition after Lamouchi's sacking.
Netherlands have no such uncertainty. Virgil van Dijk continues to anchor the back line, while Gakpo and Depay give Koeman a front line capable of punishing any hesitation in the Tunisian ranks.
With top spot in Group F still to be confirmed, Koeman has every incentive to field a strong attacking unit rather than rest his key players, which should keep the goals flowing from the Dutch side.
Most goals and assists
Tunisia
Netherlands
O. Rekik
(1 Goals)
,
H. Mastouri
(1 Goals)
C. Gakpo
(3 Goals)
,
B. Brobbey
(3 Goals)
H. Mejbri
(2 Assists)
R. Gravenberch
(2 Assists)
,
D. Dumfries
(2 Assists)
,
C. Summerville
(2 Assists)
Tunisia - Netherlands Key Points
- Netherlands have scored seven goals across their two Group F matches at this World Cup.
- Tunisia have conceded nine goals in their two matches and failed to keep a clean sheet in either.
- Both of the Netherlands' matches at this tournament have already produced more than 2.5 goals.
- Likewise, Tunisia’s two games produced six and four goals, respectively.
- Netherlands have failed to keep a clean sheet in this tournament, conceding three goals in two games.
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Our Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction
Both ends of this Group F finale point toward goals. Netherlands have found the net seven times already at this World Cup and have every reason to keep attacking with top spot still on the line. Meanwhile Tunisia have failed to keep a clean sheet in either of their group games, conceding nine in the process (the most in the WC so far).
With Renard still settling into the job and Koeman's side finally clicking in attack, a repeat of Group F's earlier high-scoring matches looks the likeliest outcome. Hence, our Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Tunisia vs Netherlands Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tunisia Netherlands
| Tunisia vs Netherlands | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia wins | 8.5 | 1001 | +11,676.5% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 501 | +9,009.1% |
| Netherlands wins | 1.25 | 1.17 | -6.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Netherlands is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 85.5% (5.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
