Tunisia vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in World Cup Predictions
Tunisia and Japan have a date with destiny as the two nations face off in a Group F encounter at the 2026 World Cup. This will be a landmark encounter for the world championships, as it officially marks the 1000th World Cup game. At the BBVA Stadium on Sunday, the two will be facing off for the seventh time in their history.
It will also be the second time they meet in a World Cup match and the second time they meet competitively. In their opening group games, these nations had mixed results, Tunisia falling 5-1 to Sweden as Japan rallied to draw 2-2 with the Netherlands.
Japan won their most recent encounter against Tunisia in 2023, a Kirin Cup meeting. That 2-0 victory took their head-to-head advantage to 5-1 in their six meetings. None of the previous clashes between these nations had both teams scoring, and Tunisia come here with a poor scoring record as well. That is why our prediction goes for a BTTS-No for this encounter.
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Tunisia v Japan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
|
|
8.69 | 4.6 | 1.43 |
|
|
8 | 4.32 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.18 | 1.46 |
|
|
9.25 | 4.6 | 1.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tunisia and Japan?
Our prediction for the Tunisia vs Japan match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/06/2026 between Tunisia and Japan in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.11% for a win of Tunisia against Japan with odds of 9.25 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tunisia vs Japan is 25.71% with odds of 4.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Japan vs Tunisia with odds of 1.52 at Betsson.
Tunisia - Japan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tunisia Japan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Japan wins | 42.18% | 1.52 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.9 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.05% | 1.71 at 1xbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Japan | 17.33% | 4.3 at Betsson |
Tunisia vs Japan Form
Tunisia and Japan's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
Tunisia and Japan Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
Tunisia - Japan: Form Analysis
In the first round of matches, Tunisia landed one of the biggest blows as they were hammered 5-1 by Sweden. That result didn’t just see them go winless in four straight games but also led to the first sacking at the World Cup. Manager Sabri Lamouchi has since been dismissed and ex-Saudi Arabia coach Herve Renard hired.
With the Carthage Eagles having scored just once in the last four games, the Frenchman has his work cut out. Meanwhile, the African side has conceded 11 times in the last three matches, also leaving Renard with a tattered defence to patch up. Renard will also meet a side with shattered confidence after Tunisia landed their heaviest defeat at a World Cup.
Japan have a 5-1 head-to-head advantage over Tunisia, including one WC meeting.
As Tunisia are looking to avoid a seventh straight group stage exit at the World Cup, Japan target going past the last 16 for the first time. The Samurai Blue showed their mettle in a tough battle against the Netherlands in the opening game. Twice they came from behind to draw the UEFA giants 2-2.
That result halted their six-match winning run, and Hajime Moriyasu will be rallying his charges to restart another such streak. The Japanese will particularly be happy to face a goal-shy Tunisia, as they are eyeing a first World Cup clean sheet in 11 outings at this stage. In their only previous World Cup meeting, Japan beat Tunisia 2-0.
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Tunisia against Japan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
M. Chamakh
S. Ben Hessen
DefenderA. Arous
M. Ben Hmida
M. Neffati
R. Chikhaoui
M. Ben Ouanes
MidfielderM. Hadj Mahmoud
I. Gharbi
K. Ayari
R. Khedira
H. Mastouri
E. Achouri
R. Elloumi
F. Chaouat
T. Hayakawa
K. Osako
DefenderY. Sugawara
T. Watanabe
J. Suzuki
Y. Nagatomo
S. Taniguchi
A. Seko
Y. Suzuki
D. Maeda
ForwardK. Goto
K. Shiogai
K. Ogawa
Missing players
T. Kubo
ForwardS. Machino
Tunisia & Japan Squad Analysis
Tunisia have no reported injury concerns ahead of this game. Elias Achouri could be one of the players Herve Renard turns to as Tunisia look to solve their scoring problems. The FC Copenhagen man was given just 18 minutes in the Sweden loss. While his scoring form hasn’t been the best lately, he has experience delivering at major competitions.
Last time at the AFCON, he scored twice, and there is a charm to when he scores. All his five international goals came in winning outings. The new manager may want to tap into that, and the striker will hope this fresh start reignites his hunger.
Wataru Endo withdrew from Japan's World Cup squad due to a left foot injury.
The Japanese will once again hope to use Koki Ogawa as their weapon in this match. In the opening game, he rose off the bench to deliver the assist for their second equalizer. The Nijmegen man had a similar impact in their earlier match, coming from the bench to score the winner against Iceland.
He scored six times in the qualifiers and will surely be a man to watch here. Japan will, however, be without the man who created their opening goal against the Netherlands, Takefusa Kubo. The Real Sociedad man hurt his knee in the match and will definitely be out.
Most goals and assists
Tunisia
Japan
O. Rekik
(1 Goals)
,
H. Mastouri
(1 Goals)
D. Kamada
(2 Goals)
,
A. Ueda
(2 Goals)
H. Mejbri
(2 Assists)
K. Ogawa
(1 Assists)
,
T. Kubo
(1 Assists)
,
K. Itakura
(1 Assists)
,
K. Nakamura
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ueda
(1 Assists)
,
K. Sano
(1 Assists)
,
R. Doan
(1 Assists)
Tunisia - Japan Key Points
- Japan kept five clean sheets in their last six outings.
- Tunisia scored one goal across their last four matches.
- Japan managed five clean sheets in six meetings with Tunisia.
- One or both sides failed to score in four of Tunisia’s last five games.
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Our Tunisia vs Japan Prediction
Tunisia look to be in trouble after their heavy defeat in the first match here. Their troubles aren’t just on the pitch, but now they have to deal with a new technical team. Coach Herve Renard is expected to prioritize defending in a bid to stabilize a team that has conceded 11 times in the last three matches.
The north Africans have failed to score in three of their last four outings, yet they face a defensively astute Japan side. The Asian giants have managed five clean sheets in their latest six games. Our prediction for Tunisia v Japan, therefore, is BTTS-No.
Tunisia vs Japan Alternative Predictions
Japan wins
Japan have the head-to-head advantage in this fixture. They have faced off with Tunisia six times before and won five while keeping clean sheets in all their victories. Those included one World Cup meeting.
As they clash again in the World Cup, the odds favor a Japan win against a Tunisia side with a very small window through transition. Tunisia’s quest here lacks much stability, yet they meet a side unbeaten in eight matches with six wins. Our second prediction for Tunisia v Japan is that Japan wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tunisia Japan
| Tunisia vs Japan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia wins | 5.38 | 9.25 | +71.9% |
| Draw | 3.61 | 4.6 | +27.4% |
| Japan wins | 1.78 | 1.52 | -14.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Japan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 65.8% (9.6%)
Tunisia vs Japan - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
