Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will look to feast on Tondela’s poor form when the sides meet on matchday nine of the 2025-26 Liga Portugal. This match on Sunday at Estadio Joao Cardoso between the 17th-placed ‘Gold and Greens’ and the second-placed Lions comes with our prediction of an away win to nil.
With only five points to their name (W1, D2, L5), Tondela are two points adrift of the safety zone. Sporting’s 19 points (W6, D1, L1) put them three points behind leaders Porto while being just a point above Benfica ahead of this round.
Tondela won 5-1 away at Vila Real last week in the cup competition, making it two wins out of three competitive matches. They lost 3-0 away at Rio Ave last matchday in the league, extending their stay in the relegation zone.
Home form remains a concern too, as they are yet to win here in this league campaign, although they drew the last two home league games.
Sporting won 2-1 at home against Marseille this week in the Champions League, which was preceded by a win in the cup competition last week. They need to bounce back in the league, having drawn 1-1 at home against Braga before the international break.
Sporting will be confident of their chances on this trip, having won all four away league games this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tondela v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 6.5 | 1.19 |
|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 5.75 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 6.4 | 1.21 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tondela and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Tondela and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.24% for a win of Tondela against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 11 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon is 16.36% with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 70.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela with odds of 1.26 at LSbet.
Tondela - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tondela Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 70.39% | 1.26 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.24% | 1.49 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | 2.02 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 33.48% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Tondela and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
|
17
|
5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 |
Tondela and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2025 - Segunda Liga
4 May 2025 - Segunda Liga
20 Apr 2025 - Segunda Liga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jan 2024 - Taca de Portugal
23 Dec 2023 - Portugal League Cup
9 Apr 2022 - Liga Portugal
28 Nov 2021 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2021 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2020 - Liga Portugal
Tondela against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Tondela
Sporting Lisbon
T. Manso
(1 Goals)
,
I. Cavaleiro
(1 Goals)
, 
P. Pereira dos Santos
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Sithole
(1 Goals)
L. Suarez
(8 Goals)
R. Lopes
(1 Assists)
G. Quenda
(4 Assists)
,
P. Goncalves
(4 Assists)
Tondela - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Tondela have failed to score in a league-high six matches this season.
- Four of Sporting CP’s six league wins this season have come with a clean sheet.
- Sporting won two of their four away league games this season with a clean sheet.
- Tondela lost five of their eight league games this season.
- Tondela failed to score in two of their home league fixtures this season.
- Sporting won four of their last five league matches against Tondela without conceding a goal.
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Our Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
The two-time defending champions Sporting Lisbon are the chasers in Liga Portugal at this moment, trailing leaders Porto by three points. They wouldn’t want to drop points in this fixture and risk losing further ground in the title race. The newly-promoted Tondela have been struggling for impact, more notably in the scoring front. They have failed to score in a league-high six of eight matches so far.
The goal-shy hosts could continue to struggle, and that’s why our Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is Sporting Lisbon win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tondela Sporting Lisbon
| Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins | 9 | 10 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.5 | +8.3% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.24 | 1.19 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 84.0% (3.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
