Austria - Austrian Bundesliga
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by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions
Sturm Graz will seek to move closer to another Austrian league title when they welcome Salzburg to the Merkur Arena. In the Championship Round, these two are four points apart; Sturm Graz top on 36 points, and Salzburg are fourth. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Back-to-back defeats against Austria Vienna threatened to derail their charge, but Sturm Graz are back on track. In their latest outing, they beat Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 to return to winning ways.
That marked their fourth win in six matches. As they don’t lose too many home fixtures, Sturm Graz will be positive about this one.
There was also some sense of relief at Salzburg on match week seven. They pounced on Austria Vienna with a 2-0 victory, rising again after two winless outings.
The visitors had earlier dropped crucial points in a 2-1 loss to Wolfsberger and a 1-1 draw with the same opponent. One stat they will be happy with, is their scoring consistency, but not their defence.
Stephan Helm’s men have scored in each of their previous 12 matches. However, in the last six, their latest game was the first clean sheet.
Three defeats in the last five meetings with Sturm Graz place them as the underdogs here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Salzburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.6 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.35 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Salzburg?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Salzburg match is: Sturm Graz to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2025 between Sturm Graz and Salzburg in Austrian Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.76% for a win of Sturm Graz against Salzburg with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Salzburg is 24.06% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Salzburg vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Form
Sturm Graz and Salzburg's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
36 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 |
|
4
|
32 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
Sturm Graz and Salzburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
21 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Feb 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Apr 2024 - ÖFB Cup
31 Mar 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
, 
O. Kiteishvili
(13 Goals)
N. Dorgeles
(10 Goals)
M. Johnston
(5 Assists)
O. Gloukh
(6 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Salzburg Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these two.
- Sturm Graz have three wins in the last five matches against Salzburg.
- Sturm Graz won four of their last five league fixtures at home.
- In 12 away league matches, Salzburg managed only three wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Salzburg’s last five league matches.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Prediction
These two giants of Austrian football will clash for the fourth time this season, and Sturm Graz have the edge. After losing the first meeting of the season, the hosts recovered with back-to-back wins.
They’ve now beaten Salzburg three times in the last five meetings, and all those five matches had three or more goals in total. Salzburg have struggled a bit on the road, while Sturm Graz’s home matches have been somewhat smoother. Our prediction for Sturm Graz v Salzburg is for Sturm Graz to win and over 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sturm Graz vs. Salzburg game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sturm Graz and Salzburg? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Austrian Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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