France - Top 14
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by Steve Ashfield in Rugby Predictions
Stade Toulousain are already confirmed as finishing in first place in the Top 14 main season. Their final home game in the main season sees them host Lyon who are 11th in the table. Here’s our match prediction.
The home side will be going straight into the play-off semi-finals. They are 12 points ahead of second-placed Bordeaux Begles. Last weekend saw them beaten at home though, going down 37-35 to Racing 92.
That loss was only their second home league defeat of the season with ten matches won. They end the main season with a trip to USA Perpignan who are 13th in the table.
Lyon are struggling for form at present. Their most recent league fixture saw them beaten 31-30 at Stade Francais Paris after leading at the break. That was their third successive league loss but the combined winning margin for the victors was only 11 points.
They are ten points clear of the relegation play-off place and end the season with a home game against Racing 92.
On the road, Lyon have won two of their 12 league fixtures with nine defeats. Each of their last four away league games have been lost.
We tip Stade Toulousain to win this match and defy a -21.5 points handicap.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Lyon Ou Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.03 | 51 | 11 |
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1.01 | 21 | 13 |
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1.03 | 41 | 11 |
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1.03 | 61 | 12.5 |
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1.02 | 51 | 13 |
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Stade Toulousain vs Lyon Ou Form
Stade Toulousain and Lyon Ou's standings in the Top 14
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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85 | 24 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 396 |
11
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50 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 6 |
Stade Toulousain and Lyon Ou Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
16 Feb 2025 - Top 14

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
23 May 2025 - Challenge Cup
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Challenge Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Challenge Cup
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
6 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
23 May 2025 - Challenge Cup
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain vs Lyon Ou Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
22 Dec 2024 - Top 14
8 Jun 2024 - Top 14
6 Jan 2024 - Top 14
16 Apr 2023 - Top 14
27 Nov 2022 - Top 14
27 Mar 2022 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain - Lyon Ou Key Points
- Stade Toulousain are top of the table.
- Stade Toulousain have won ten of their 12 home league games.
- Lyon have only won two away league games with nine defeats.
- Lyon have lost their last three league fixtures.
- Four of Stade Toulousain's last five home league games have been won by 22 points or more.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Lyon Ou Prediction
Stade Toulousain will want to win their final home game in the main season of Top 14. It is going to be important to look at the team news for this match. It's possible the home side may rest some players and keep them fresh for the upcoming play-offs.
Lyon are struggling for form though with three successive league defeats and have lost nine away fixtures. Our Stade Toulousain v Lyon prediction is Stade Toulousain to win on a -21.5 points handicap.
Prediction :
Stade Toulousain to win on a -21.5 points handicap
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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