France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Bordeaux Bègles will battle Stade Toulousain in the 2024-25 Top 14 final on Saturday. Can Les Girondins avenge last season's humiliating final loss to the Red and Blacks to win their first-ever league title? Follow our prediction for the match below.
For the second season in a row, these two teams will go head-to-head for the coveted French Rugby top flight title underscoring their soaring dominance. However, they will meet off the back of contrasting sporting fortunes. Stade Toulousain boasts a record 23 league titles and will be aiming for their third in a row while Bordeaux Bègles will be looking for their first French star.
Also, this match isn't only a repeat of the 2024 final, but a revenge fixture for both sides. Bordeaux Bègles will aim to harvest their pound of flesh this time after Stade Toulousain crushed their dreams of a first league title with a thumping 59-3 victory at Stade Velodrome in last season's final.
On the other hand, Stade Toulousain will be looking to hit back at Bordeaux Bègles who denied them a chance to defend the European Champions Cup title this season following a 35-18 loss in the semi-final to the eventual champions. The stakes are indeed high but who will come out victorious? Let's take you through their form.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Union Bordeaux Begles Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.95 | 19 | 1.95 |
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1.95 | 21 | 1.95 |
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2 | 26 | 1.8 |
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1.98 | 25 | 1.87 |
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|
1.96 | 19 | 1.96 |
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Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Form
Stade Toulousain and Union Bordeaux Begles Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
20 Jun 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
20 Jun 2025 - Top 14
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Jun 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Champions Cup
17 May 2025 - Top 14
11 May 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Jun 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Champions Cup
11 May 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
30 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
29 Sep 2024 - Top 14
28 Jun 2024 - Top 14
24 Mar 2024 - Top 14
29 Oct 2023 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain - Union Bordeaux Begles: Form Analysis
Stade Toulousain are the standard bearers in the French top flight this season. They finished top in the rankings with 90 points in the regular season (W18, D1, L7). This was followed by a 32-25 victory over Aviron Bayonnais in the semifinals. Fly-half Romaine Ntamack and scrum-half Paul Graou scored a try each to secure a narrow five-point lead in the first half before a 12-10 second-half win sealed the victory.
Stade Toulousain finished top in the rankings this season with 90 points, but they have lost three of their last six matches.
However, Ugo Mola's side have been inconsistent lately. They have lost three and won three of their last six matches in an alternating win-loss cycle. The most recent of these results was the semifinal victory over Aviron Bayonnais.
Bordeaux Bègles finished second on the table in the regular season, 12 points behind Stade Toulousain. They defeated Toulon 39-24 in an eight-try thriller in the semifinals, thanks to hooker Maxime Lamothe's hat-trick.
Bordeaux Bègles have won four of their last five matches and all their three matches against Stade Toulousain this season.
Notably, Yannick Bru's side will enter this match in better shape than Stade Toulousain. They have won four of their last five matches with the most recent being the semifinal win over Toulon.
The reigning European champions have also won all their fixtures against Stade Toulousain this season – the most recent being the Champions Cup semi-final victory.
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Stade Toulousain & Union Bordeaux Begles Squad Analysis
Toulouse are heading into this match without legendary scrum-half Antoine DuPont. The French captain was ruled out of the season following an ACL blow while on international duty with France in the 2025 Six Nations. French hooker Peato Mauvaka is also out due to a season-ending knee injury, including full-back Ange Capuozzo – the team's leading try scorer this season.
Toulouse will miss three key players – Antoine Dupont, Peato Mauvaka, and Ange Capuozzo – in this match due to season-ending injuries.
However, Ugo Mola still has key names in the squad available. Paul Graou and Romaine Ntamack, who both scored a try each in the semi-final win over Bayonne, are available for the match. Fullback Thomas Ramos, who also starred against Bayonne scoring six penalties and two conversions, is expected to return to the backline. Another crucial name in the Red and Blacks' available options is Argentina fullback Juan Cruz Mallia, who is the team's next leading try scorer this season, behind Ange Capuozzo.
Bordeaux Bègles have been handed a big boost heading into this match. Fullback Louis Bielle-Biarrey who tops the try-scorers' chart this season with 13 to his name, is back to the squad and available to start after recovering from concussion.
Bordeaux Bègles have been handed a big boost with this season's top try scorer Louis Bielle-Biarrey back to the squad.
Another fullback Blair Kinghorn was back in action in the semi-final against Toulon after injury and is in contention to start on Saturday. Champions Cup Player of the Year 2025 and French wing Darmian Pernaud is also available among Yannick Bru's backline options, including semi-final hat-trick hero Maxime Lamothe.
Stade Toulousain - Union Bordeaux Begles Key Points
- Stade Toulousain have lost three of their last six matches.
- Stade Toulousain have lost four of their last five matches against Bordeaux Bègles
- Bordeaux Bègles have won four of their last five matches.
- Bordeaux Bègles have won all their three matches against Stade Toulousain this season.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Prediction
This match is a double-edged grudge tie dripping with revenge for both teams. Bordeaux Bègles will aim to avenge last season's humiliating final loss for their first Top 14 title while Stade Toulousain will attempt to avenge their Champions Cup semifinal loss to Les Girondins for a third league crown in a row.
Meanwhile, Bordeaux Bègles are favorites to ace this tie given their recent better form than Stade Toulousain. Yannick Bru's side have also won all their matches against Stade Toulousain this season. Hence, our Stade Toulousain vs Bordeaux Bègles prediction is Bordeaux Bègles win.
Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles - Other Interesting Predictions
Louis Bielle-Biarrey to score a try anytime
Louis Bielle-Biarrey has been at the top of his game this season for Bordeaux Bègles. The fullback has a league-leading 13 tries and is likely to recreate these heroes in the final on Saturday. Hence, we are predicting him to score a try anytime in this match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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