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Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
20/06/2025 15:05
Aviron Bayonne

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Toulousain will play host to Bayonne in this 2024-25 Top 14 semi-final playoff on Friday at Stade Ernest-Wallon. The winner of this match will face either Bordeaux Bègles or RC Toulon in the final. Can the Red and Blacks edge out the Rowing Club to secure their place in the final? Follow our prediction for the match below.

Stade Toulousain finished top of the table with 90 points in the regular season to secure a home semi-final playoff fixture. They have been the standard bearers in the French top flight this season and are considered favorites to win the title. 

Notably, Ugo Mola's side hasn't really impressed lately, losing two of their last four league matches. This includes a 42-35 away defeat to USA Perpignan in their last game. However, they have been on a terrific run at home, winning 13 of their last 14 matches in all competitions.

Bayonne finished fourth in the standings with 68 points to qualify for the playoffs. They thrashed Clermont 20-3 to book their place in the last four, thanks to a remarkable 11-0 second-half shutout victory. 

However, Gregory Patat's side hasn't won any of their last six away matches, losing five and drawing one. They have also suffered defeats in their last three trips to Stade Ernest-Wallon, losing the last two by 20 points or more.

The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Aviron Bayonne Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.08 34 7.5
Betway
1.08 21 8.5
Ladbrokes
1.1 34 7
Unibet
1.08 41 8
Vbet
1.09 36 7.8
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne odds
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Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Form

Stade Toulousain and Aviron Bayonne Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
43 :  3
Lyon Ou

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  37
Racing 92

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
43 :  3
Lyon Ou

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  37
Racing 92

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique

6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
38 :  15
Sale Sharks

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
55 :  10
Section Paloise

1 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
63 :  21
Rugby Club Vannes
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

20 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  27
Stade Toulousain

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

23 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
32 :  24
Stade Toulousain
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne Last matches
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
20 :  3
Clermont

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
18 :  10
RC Toulonnais

31 May 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  3
Aviron Bayonne

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
38 :  32
Rugby Club Vannes

10 May 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
24 :  24
Aviron Bayonne

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  22
Section Paloise
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
20 :  3
Clermont

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
18 :  10
RC Toulonnais

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
38 :  32
Rugby Club Vannes

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  22
Section Paloise

5 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  32
Bulls

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
28 :  14
Lyon Ou
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

31 May 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  3
Aviron Bayonne

10 May 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
24 :  24
Aviron Bayonne

19 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
29 :  28
Aviron Bayonne

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
31 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
41 :  6
Aviron Bayonne

25 Jan 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
16 :  11
Aviron Bayonne

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

50 %

Draw

0 %

Aviron Bayonne

50 %

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
41 :  6
Aviron Bayonne

3 Nov 2024 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
12 :  8
Stade Toulousain

3 Feb 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
46 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

18 Aug 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
26 :  7
Stade Toulousain

4 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
21 :  16
Aviron Bayonne

29 Oct 2022 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
26 :  22
Stade Toulousain

Stade Toulousain - Aviron Bayonne Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won 13 of their last 14 home matches in all competitions this season.
  2. Stade Toulousain have won six of their last seven home fixtures by 23 points or more.
  3. Bayonne are winless in their last six away matches, losing five and drawing one.
  4. Bayonne have lost their last three away fixtures against Stade Toulousain, losing the last two by 20 points or more.

Our Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

Stade Toulousain are the overwhelming favorites to win this match and cover the spread. They have been the best team in the competition this season and have won 13 of their last 14 matches. Their last six victories in this remarkable home stretch have been by 23 points or more. 

Bayonne are winless in their last six away matches. They also lost their last three away fixtures against Stade Toulousain, losing the last two by more than 20 points. Hence, our Stade Toulousain vs Bayonne prediction is Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

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