France - Top 14
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by Steve Ashfield in Rugby Predictions
Stade Francais Paris go into this weekend still to secure their place in next season's Top 14. The Pink Soldiers are only a place above the bottom two and host Castres Olympique who are fifth in the table. Here's our match prediction.
The glory days are long over for Stade Francais Paris and it's been a difficult season for them. They are only a point above USA Perpignan who occupy the relegation play-off position. There's a five point gap to RC Vannes who are facing automatic relegation.
It's their away record that has put them in this precarious position going into the final league fixture. All 13 of their away league games have been lost this season. At home, they have won nine and lost three, most recently beating Lyon 31-30.
Castres Olympique are in the play-off positions but are only a point clear of sixth-placed Stade Rochelais and three clear of Clermont in seventh. Both could yet finish above Castres and deny them their position in the play-offs.
Last weekend saw them win at home but Castres have only won one away league game this season with nine defeats and no wins in the last five.
We tip Stade Francais Paris to win this match and avoid relegation.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Francais Paris v Castres Olympique Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 21 | 2.88 |
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1.5 | 21 | 2.75 |
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1.53 | 21 | 2.75 |
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1.57 | 23 | 2.45 |
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1.51 | 21 | 2.73 |
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Stade Francais Paris vs Castres Olympique Form
Stade Francais Paris and Castres Olympique's standings in the Top 14
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
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63 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | -21 |
12
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41 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 16 | -169 |
Stade Francais Paris and Castres Olympique Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
27 Apr 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
17 May 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
27 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
Stade Francais Paris vs Castres Olympique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
19 Oct 2024 - Top 14
1 Jun 2024 - Top 14
4 Nov 2023 - Top 14
7 Jan 2023 - Top 14
10 Sep 2022 - Top 14
8 Jan 2022 - Top 14
Stade Francais Paris - Castres Olympique Key Points
- Stade Francais Paris have won nine home league games this season.
- Castres have only won one away league game out of 12 played.
- Castres have gone five away league games without a win.
- Stade Francais Paris have won four of their last five home league fixtures.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs Castres Olympique Prediction
The two clubs below Stade Francais Paris take on the top couple of sides in the table this weekend. It's possible therefore that Stade Francais Paris could lose this match and still avoid relegation. They'd much prefer to get a win though and that'd be their tenth home league success of the season.
Castres Olympique still have to clinch their play-off position but like their opponents, they struggle on the road. Only one away league game has been won by them this season. Our Stade Francais Paris v Castres Olympique prediction is Stade Francais Paris to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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