Spain vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The second team to stamp their ticket to the final four in the 2026 World Cup will be confirmed on Friday night when Spain take on Belgium at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. La Roja are unbeaten in their last 11 matches against the Red Devils, and we’re going with that trend to continue here as our main prediction.
Luis de la Fuente’s side enter the quarter-final off the back of a dramatic late victory over Portugal, which brought an end to Cristiano Ronaldo’s international career. The reigning European champions have not conceded a single goal in this competition, nor have they lost to their upcoming opponents since the 1986 World Cup on penalties.
After scraping past Senegal in the Round of 32, Belgium produced a much better performance to send co-hosts the USA crashing out of the World Cup in the last 16 on Tuesday. With 12 goals in their last three games, Rudi Garcia’s attack has been impressive in the lead-up to this clash, but will they be able to break down the meanest defence? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Spain v Belgium Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.95 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.13 | 5.94 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.96 | 5.75 |
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|
1.59 | 3.96 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.13 | 5.94 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Belgium?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Belgium match is: Spain wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/07/2026 between Spain and Belgium in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.88% for a win of Spain against Belgium with odds of 1.68 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Belgium is 33.14% with odds of 4.13 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs Spain with odds of 5.98 at 888Starz.
Spain vs Belgium Form
Spain and Belgium Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Spain - Belgium: Form Analysis
After taking seven points from their group, Spain booked their spot in the quarter-finals of this year’s World Cup with a 3-0 victory over Austria and a 1-0 win against Portugal in the knockout rounds.
La Roja have scored nine goals in this competition and are averaging 1.95 xG per 90. However, the most impressive part about their performances has come in defence, where they have not conceded a single goal.
The European champions are now on a four-match win streak and are unbeaten in their last 15 games, dating back to their loss against Portugal in the Nations League final just over a year ago.
Spain is the only team still standing in the World Cup that has yet to concede a goal!
Meanwhile, after drawing three of their first four games, Belgium produced their best performance of this competition on Tuesday night when they dominated the USA en route to a 4-1 victory.
With 13 goals in their five matches, the Red Devils are now overperforming their tournament xG of 10.54. However, they have only kept a single clean sheet and are averaging 1.23 xGA per 90.
Belgium have avoided defeat in their last 18 games across all competitions (W12 D6) dating back to mid-March last year and have scored two or more goals in 12 matches during this period.
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Spain vs Belgium last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Raya
J. Garcia
DefenderM. Pubill
E. Garcia
M. Llorente
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderGavi
F. Ruiz
M. Merino
M. Zubimendi
ForwardV. Munoz
N. Williams
F. Torres
B. Iglesias
Y. Pino
S. Lammens
M. Penders
DefenderT. Meunier
A. Theate
K. De Winter
Z. Debast
J. Seys
MidfielderA. Witsel
K. De Bruyne
H. Vanaken
A. Saelemaekers
D. Moreira
ForwardM. Fernandez-Pardo
R. Lukaku
J. Doku
Missing players
A. Onana
Spain & Belgium Squad Analysis
Mikel Oyarzabal is one to watch here. The Real Sociedad striker has recorded 19 shots at goal (nine on target) and has been directly involved in more than half of Spain’s goals in this tournament (4 goals, 1 assist).
De la Fuente singled out Lamine Yamal as the team’s standout performer against Portugal. The Barcelona starlet has the joint-most shots from successful carries in the World Cup this year (10).
Nico Williams and Yeremy Pino were forced to sit out the last couple of games through injury. Neither have been ruled out for this clash as yet, but both are listed as major doubts.
Romelu Lukaku has four direct goal contributions in his last three matches!
The Napoli striker has been an excellent impact substitute for Belgium in this competition, netting two of his three goals in the tournament, while also picking up his only assist off the bench.
Leandro Trossard has also notched up four goal contributions in his last three games. However, the Arsenal man has also been excellent on defensive duty, currently with the third most possessions won (30), and he will have his hands full keeping Pedro Porro from bombing down the left flank here.
The victory over the USA came at a cost for Belgium, as Amadou Onana suffered an anterior cruciate ligament tear, which has ruled him out for this match. Hans Vanaken is likely to replace Onana in midfield.
Most goals and assists
Spain
Belgium
M. Oyarzabal
(4 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(3 Goals)
M. Cucurella
(2 Assists)
L. Trossard
(3 Assists)
Spain - Belgium Key Points
- Spain is unbeaten in their last 15 matches in all competitions.
- Spain has not conceded a single goal in this competition.
- Spain is averaging just 0.30 xGA per 90 in this competition.
- Spain is unbeaten in their last 11 matches against this opponent.
- Belgium has only kept one clean sheet in their five World Cup matches this year.
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Our Spain vs Belgium Prediction
After a shaky start to the tournament, drawing two of their first three games against Egypt and Iran, Belgium have looked much better lately, scoring 12 goals in their last three matches coming into this one.
However, the Red Devils have not faced a defence as rock solid as Spain’s to this point. La Roja are averaging just 0.30 xGA per 90 in this competition, and have shut out this opponent in four of their five encounters in this century. Therefore, our Spain vs Belgium prediction is Spain wins.
Spain vs Belgium Alternative Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Spain has not conceded a single goal and is averaging just 0.30 xGA per 90 in this competition. Additionally, three of their five games at the 2026 World Cup have ended with under 2.5 goals, as has four of their last six against this opponent.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Spain vs. Belgium game!
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Spain vs Belgium - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between Spain and Belgium will take place on July 10 at 19:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between Spain and Belgium will be played at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, USA.
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between Spain and Belgium will be broadcast on RTVE (Spain) and VRT (Belgium). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
