Spain vs Austria Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Spain's search for a first World Cup knockout win since 2010 pits them against Austria, who are in their first World Cup knockout stage game since 1982. This is the newly added last 32 stage of the 2026 edition, and the winner of this game between 'La Roja' and 'Das Team' will meet either Portugal or Croatia in the next round. While Spain remain one of the tournament favorites, can Austria crack Spain's strong defense and spring a surprise?
An unbeaten run in Group H (W2, D1) saw Spain top that stage, bouncing back from an uninspiring 0-0 draw on matchday one. The reigning European champions are yet to underline their supremacy but are also yet to concede a goal, so they are doing things difficult for teams.
A dramatic stoppage-time equalizer on matchday helped Austria hold Algeria and seal second place from Group J (W1, D1, L1). This marks the first time since 1982 that the Austrians are advancing beyond the initial group stage, but will they make it count by upsetting the fancied Spaniards? Dive deep into our analysis and match predictions.
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Spain v Austria Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 4.55 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.09 | 10.8 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.25 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.09 | 10.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Austria?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Austria match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/07/2026 between Spain and Austria in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.12% for a win of Spain against Austria with odds of 1.4 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Austria is 30% with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Austria vs Spain with odds of 1001 at Betway.
Spain - Austria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Austria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 44.12% | 1.4 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.08% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.05% | 1.82 at 22bet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Spain | 19.78% | 4.1 at Roobet |
Spain vs Austria Form
Spain and Austria Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Spain - Austria: Form Analysis
A narrow 1-0 win over Uruguay on matchday three was enough for Spain to seal top place in the group, after taking four points from the first two games. They are yet to concede a goal in this tournament, although their famous attack is yet to fire.
Spain lost at the first knockout stage in the last two editions, which could be a minor concern. A recent run of results will give them confidence, though, as 'La Roja' have gone unbeaten in their last 33 games within regulation time (W23, D10).
Spain have faced just 26 shots across their last four World Cup games.
Austria played out an entertaining 3-3 draw against Algeria on matchday three, taking both teams to the knockouts and fueling theories of conspiracy to keep Iran out. Regardless, the Austrians are in their first knockout stage game since 1954 and will look to make the most of this rare opportunity.
'Das Team' were beaten just once in their last eight matches (W5, D2, L1), which was against Argentina on matchday two of this tournament. This result is perhaps a concern as Austria could struggle against another top team.
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Spain against Austria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Garcia
D. Raya
DefenderE. Garcia
M. Pubill
M. Llorente
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
Gavi
F. Ruiz
M. Merino
V. Munoz
B. Iglesias
F. Torres
Y. Pino
N. Williams
F. Wiegele
P. Pentz
DefenderM. Friedl
M. Svoboda
D. Affengruber
P. Lienhart
P. Mwene
MidfielderD. Ljubicic
A. Prass
F. Grillitsch
C. Chukwuemeka
A. Schoepf
ForwardS. Kalajdzic
P. Wimmer
M. Arnautovic
Spain & Austria Squad Analysis
Yeremy Pino suffered a collarbone fracture against Uruguay and is likely to be ruled out of the World Cup for Spain. Nico Williams also suffered a groin injury and is a doubt here, while Victor Munoz continues to be sidelined. There are also concerns over Lamine Yamal's fitness to play the entire game.
Spain are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation unless they want to be aggressive and line up in the 4-3-3 system they used against Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia. Mikel Oyarzabal could be their main striker, having already scored two and assisted one goal in this tournament.
Oyarzabal has 15 goals and seven assists in his last 15 starts for Spain.
Austria seem to have no new injury concerns and will look to maximize their use of star forward Marko Arnautovic. He scored twice in this tournament but started only once, and played only 112 minutes.
If Arnautovic starts, he would be their lone striker in their favored 4-2-3-1 system, although they have shown enough flexibility to transform into a 4-1-3-2 dynamic system.
Most goals and assists
Spain
Austria
M. Oyarzabal
(5 Goals)
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
D. Olmo
(2 Assists)
,
M. Cucurella
(2 Assists)
X. Schlager
(1 Assists)
,
D. Alaba
(1 Assists)
,
M. Gregoritsch
(1 Assists)
,
K. Laimer
(1 Assists)
Spain - Austria Key Points
- Four of Spain’s last six matches have returned under 2.5 goals.
- Spain kept a clean sheet in eight of their last nine competitive matches, including all three in the group stage.
- Six of Austria’s last nine games have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- In four of their last six competitive matches, Austria saw two or fewer goals scored.
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Our Spain vs Austria Prediction
Spain were one of the pre-tournament favorites, and although they haven't overwhelmed their opponents, an unbeaten run to the knockouts should give them confidence. They are yet to concede a goal, and four of their five tournament goals have come in a single game against Saudi Arabia. Austria have scored six goals in the group games but have failed to find the net against Argentina.
The Spaniards are likely to keep it tight at the back, which is why our Spain vs Austria prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Spain vs Austria Alternative Predictions
Spain wins
Spain and Austria haven't played each other since a friendly in 2009, which somewhat overshadows Spain's recent record of two consecutive wins with a four-goal margin each time. Austria have struggled to break through Argentina in the group phase of this tournament, and this Spanish team could throw a similar experience for them. Back Spain to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spain Austria
| Spain vs Austria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 1.3 | 1.4 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 5 | 1001 | +19,920.0% |
| Austria wins | 9.8 | 1001 | +10,114.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Spain is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 71.4% (-5.5%)
Spain vs Austria - FAQs
The Spain vs Austria World Cup match will be shown live on RTVE, Mediapro/DAZN in Spain, while ORF, Servus TV and Magenta Sport are the broadcasters in Austria. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
