Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions
Top seed and defending champion Jannik Sinner faces qualifier Shintaro Mochizuki in round four at Wimbledon.. The Italian has won 40 of his 43 matches this year but has had to play more than 8.5 games in each of his three matches this week..Our prediction is that statistic will become four.
Unseeded opposition will be faced in the last eight, either Hubert Hurkacz or Jan-Lennard Struff.
Sinner has won five titles this year and only at Roland Garros has he failed to reach at least the quarter-final of a tournament. The Italian struggled on grass in the early part of his career but has reached the quarter-finals at Wimbledon in each of the past four years, lifting the title for the first time in 2025.
He has already dropped two sets in this tournament. Both were lost in round one as he had to win the final two sets to defeat Miomir Kecmanovic. Straight sets wins over Nuno Borges and Jenson Brooksby have followed but all have seen more than 8.5 games played in set one.
Shintaro Mochizuki had never got past round two of this tournament before this year. He had to win three qualifying matches to make it into this main draw. Mochizuki beat the 23rd seed Rafael Jodar in the last round.
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Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 31 |
|
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1.01 | 16 |
|
|
1.01 | 16 |
|
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1.01 | 16 |
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1.02 | 19 |
|
Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki match is: more than 8.5 games in set one.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki game on 05/07/2026 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 74.9% chance to win against Shintaro Mochizuki according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.02.
- Shintaro Mochizuki has a 25.1% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 31 at 1xbet.
Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 74.9 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 74.9 % |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 25.1 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Form
Jannik Sinner and Shintaro Mochizuki Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
26 May 2026 - ATP French Open
17 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
22 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki Key Points
- All three of the matches Sinner has played in this tournament saw more than 8.5 games played in the first set.
- At least nine games have been played in the opening set in four of Sinner's last five matches on all surfaces.
- Eight of the last ten matches played at Wimbledon have seen more than 8.5 games played in the first set.
- More than 8.5 games have been played in five of Mochizuki's last seven sets in this tournament.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction
Jannik Sinner has had a few difficult moments so far in the defence of his Wimbledon title. He was two sets to one down in his opening round match against Miomir Kecmanovic. All three of his opening sets so far have seen more than 8.5 games played.
Shintaro Mochizuki has played just over 14 hours so far in this tournament. Of his 12 wins this year, eight have been won on grass courts. He beat Rafael Jodar in round three and our Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki prediction is more than 8.5 games in set one.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
