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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Jannik Sinner will face off with Carlos Alcaraz in the 2025 Rome Masters final match. These two are very familiar foes; they will be facing off for the 13th time in their history. We have a prediction for this match pitting the world’s two best players.
Sinner was expected to make headlines when returning from a three-month suspension. He didn’t disappoint both in the way he handled the pressure and in his performance on the court.
Only once in his five matches at Rome was he under threat—against Tommy Paul in the semis. He lost the opening set of their contest but quickly recovered to win the match. Sinner is now on a 12-0 record for the season.
In the 12 meetings between these players, Alcaraz posted seven wins and won two of the three on clay. He would, based on these numbers, be justified to feel like the favorite.
However, this is the kind of match that bears no regard for form or history. Like Sinner, the Spaniard has also dropped one set at Rome. He is coming from a 2-0 win over Lorenzo Musetti.
If we were to look at the players’ form and titles, then Alcaraz walks away with this. He has a 29-5 record for the season, and in that run, he only lost once in 15 matches on clay. Win number 30 for the season will bag him a third title.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.65 | 2.25 |
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1.67 | 2.1 |
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1.67 | 2.25 |
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1.69 | 2.28 |
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: match to have three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 18/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 55.04% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 44.96% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 2.28 at Vbet.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 55.04 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jannik Sinner | 55.04 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 44.96 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
26 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
14 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
19 Oct 2024 - Six King Slam
2 Oct 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
7 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open
16 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
3 Oct 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
31 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Sinner hasn’t lost a match this season.
- Alcaraz has lost once in 15 clay court matches.
- Both players have dropped a set in Rome so far.
- Nine of 12 meetings between these two needed deciding sets.
- Alcaraz has won two of the three clay matches between these two.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
We have a cracker of a match coming our way as Sinner meets the last person to beat him. The two last met in the Beijing Open final, and Alcaraz claimed a win in three sets. Sinner has gone on a 26-match unbeaten run after that match and has the perfect setting for revenge.
Alcaraz will not be a pushover, though. The Spaniard is coming here on a strong run of form and will be inspired by the fact he won both clay matches between these two. Whoever wins this, it will not be a straightforward one. Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz is for the match to have three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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