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Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner
18/05/2025 08:00
ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Jannik Sinner will face off with Carlos Alcaraz in the 2025 Rome Masters final match. These two are very familiar foes; they will be facing off for the 13th time in their history. We have a prediction for this match pitting the world’s two best players.

Sinner was expected to make headlines when returning from a three-month suspension. He didn’t disappoint both in the way he handled the pressure and in his performance on the court.

Only once in his five matches at Rome was he under threat—against Tommy Paul in the semis. He lost the opening set of their contest but quickly recovered to win the match. Sinner is now on a 12-0 record for the season.

In the 12 meetings between these players, Alcaraz posted seven wins and won two of the three on clay. He would, based on these numbers, be justified to feel like the favorite.

However, this is the kind of match that bears no regard for form or history. Like Sinner, the Spaniard has also dropped one set at Rome. He is coming from a 2-0 win over Lorenzo Musetti.

If we were to look at the players’ form and titles, then Alcaraz walks away with this. He has a 29-5 record for the season, and in that run, he only lost once in 15 matches on clay. Win number 30 for the season will bag him a third title.

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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.67 2.2
Betway
1.65 2.25
Ladbrokes
1.67 2.1
Unibet
1.67 2.25
Vbet
1.69 2.28
Check all Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
Up to $200 to bet on Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz! 

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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: match to have three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 18/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Jannik Sinner has a 55.04% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 44.96% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 2.28 at Vbet.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 55.04 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jannik Sinner55.04 %
Carlos Alcaraz44.96 %

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Jannik Sinner Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo

12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Jesper De Jong

10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

26 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Alexander Zverev
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

14 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jack Draper
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Laslo Djere
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Dušan Lajović
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

20 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jannik Sinner

50 %

Carlos Alcaraz

50 %

19 Oct 2024 - Six King Slam

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

2 Oct 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

7 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner

16 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

3 Oct 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

31 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Jannik Sinner
Compare Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Sinner hasn’t lost a match this season.
  2. Alcaraz has lost once in 15 clay court matches.
  3. Both players have dropped a set in Rome so far.
  4. Nine of 12 meetings between these two needed deciding sets.
  5. Alcaraz has won two of the three clay matches between these two.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

We have a cracker of a match coming our way as Sinner meets the last person to beat him. The two last met in the Beijing Open final, and Alcaraz claimed a win in three sets. Sinner has gone on a 26-match unbeaten run after that match and has the perfect setting for revenge.

Alcaraz will not be a pushover, though. The Spaniard is coming here on a strong run of form and will be inspired by the fact he won both clay matches between these two. Whoever wins this, it will not be a straightforward one. Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz is for the match to have three sets.

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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