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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can Alexander Bublik cause a big surprise in the Erste Open quarter-finals? The eighth seed faces top-seeded Jannik SInner in this indoor hard court match being played in Vienna. Here's our match prediction.
Sinner has made it to the last eight without dropping a set. He did have to go to a tie-break to win the second set against Flavio Cobolli on Thursday. The world number two has only lost four games in the other three sets he's played this week.
Sinner has a 25-3 hard court record this year with two titles won and a couple of runner-up spots. Every time he's got to the last eight of a hard court tournament this year, he's gone on to at least reach the final.
He leads Bublik 5-2 in previous meetings and has never lost to him on this surface.
Alexander Bublik has also made it to this quarter-final without dropping a set. After a first round win over recent tournament winner Alejandro Tabilo, he beat Francisco Cerundolo on Thursday. Only six games were lost in that match.
Bublik won the Hangzhou hard court title last month, his fourth title of the year. He’s moved up to 15th in the live rankings.
We tip Sinner to win on a -4.5 games handicap.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Alexander Bublik Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.06 | 10 |
|
|
1.08 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.03 | 12 |
|
|
1.06 | 9 |
|
|
1.08 | 8 |
|
Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik match is: Sinner wins on a -4.5 games handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik game on 24/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 77.47% chance to win against Alexander Bublik according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.08.
- Alexander Bublik has a 22.53% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 12 at Betway.
Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 77.47 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 77.47 % |
| Alexander Bublik | 22.53 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Form
Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
15 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
23 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
22 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
19 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
4 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
23 Jun 2023 - ATP Halle Open
14 Jun 2023 - ATP Libema Open
31 Mar 2021 - ATP Miami
Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik Key Points
- Sinner's last four wins all saw him win at least five more games than his opponent.
- Sinner has only lost ten games in four sets played so far this week.
- Sinner's last two wins over Bublik have been by an aggregate score of 37 games to nine.
- Bublik has never beaten Sinner on this surface.
- Sinner met Bublik in this year's US Open and won 6-1 6-1 6-1.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Prediction
Alexander Bublik has had a successful year and has beaten Sinner but on grass. He must still have nightmares over his last match against Sinner, winning just three games in as many sets in this year's US Open. He may well do better in Vienna but Sinner is still the deserved favorite.
Sinner has only lost three hard court matches this year and one saw him retire. He is yet to drop a set in this tournament, only being tested in one set so far. Our Jannik Sinner v Alexander Bublik prediction is Sinner wins on a -4.5 games handicap.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Bublik game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jannik Sinner or Alexander Bublik, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
