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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. Third seed Alex de Minaur faces top seeded Jannik SInner in the Erste Open semi-finals. De Minaur has had 11 matches against Sinner and lost all of them. Can he finally win? Here's our match prediction.
Jannik Sinner has reached this semi-final without losing a set. Friday saw him beat Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4. This is the world number two's eighth semi-final of the year (fifth on hard courts) and he's yet to be beaten at this stage.
Of his 11 previous matches against de Minaur, seven have been played on an indoor hard court. There have been two matches this year (both on an outdoor hard court) and de Minaur won a set in Beijing.
Alex de Minaur is up to a career-high sixth in the live rankings. In the ATP Live Race, the Australian is seventh but a first win over Sinner will take him up to fifth place and strengthen his chances of playing in the Tour Finals.
De Minaur is also yet to drop a set this week and on Friday defeated unseeded Matteo Berrettini. He's in his fourth ATP Tour hard court semi-final of the year and has reached two finals, one indoors.
We tip a straight sets win for Sinner.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.11 | 6.5 |
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1.12 | 6.5 |
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.11 | 6.75 |
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1.04 | 5.8 |
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match is: Jannik Sinner wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur game on 25/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 77.1% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.12.
- Alex De Minaur has a 22.9% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 6.75 at Unibet.
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 77.1 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 77.1 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 22.9 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Form
Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
15 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
22 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
23 Nov 2024 - Davis Cup
10 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
18 Feb 2024 - ATP Rotterdam
26 Nov 2023 - Davis Cup
Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Sinner has beaten de Minaur in straight sets on nine occasions.
- Sinner is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
- Sinner has won all of the seven previous semi-finals he's played in 2025.
- Seven of Sinner's last nine wins have been without dropping a set.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Jannik Sinner has won 27 of his last 30 matches. Two of his losses were inflicted by world number one Carlos Alcaraz and the other was when retiring against Tallon Griekspoor. This is a repeat of the recent Beijing semi-final and Sinner won that to take his record against de Minaur to 11-0.
Alex de Minaur has made it to the last four without losing a set but it's taken him four-and-a-half hours to get this far. Sinner is so difficult to beat and our Jannik SInner v Alex de Minaur prediction is Jannik Sinner wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jannik Sinner or Alex De Minaur, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
