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Senegal vs Nigeria Prediction & Betting Tips - African Nations Championship

Africa - African Nations Championship

Senegal
05/08/2025 13:00
Nigeria

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and a draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions

Two African powerhouses, Nigeria and Senegal, will face off in the opening round of the 2025 African Nations Championship (Chan). The two will battle in Group D, which also has Congo and Sudan. We have a prediction for the match below.

Senegal are the defending champions, having won this title in Algeria in 2022. They are looking to join DR Congo and Morocco as the teams to have won it more than once. To get here, they beat Liberia 4-1 on aggregate.

Heading into the tournament, though, they suffered back-to-back losses in warmup matches against Tanzania and Uganda. In their last 10 matches, Senegal drew four and won as many. 

The last two matches pitting these teams were in FIFA-recognized friendly matches; Senegal won one, and the other was drawn. Before that, they had only met in AFCON or qualifiers for the tournament.

For Nigeria, this marks a third appearance at this event, and they are still gunning for a first title. Here they also end their seven-year hiatus from Chan. The last time they took part, in 2018, they ended up finishing second.

That was their best finish, having earlier managed third place and a group stage exit. In Nigeria’s latest four matches, they registered straight draws. They’ve only managed three wins in their last 10 matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Senegal v Nigeria Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betway
3.1 3 2.25
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What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Nigeria?

Our prediction for the Senegal vs Nigeria match is: under 2.5 goals and a draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/08/2025 between Senegal and Nigeria in African Nations Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.2% for a win of Senegal against Nigeria with odds of 3.1 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Nigeria is 46.06% with odds of 3 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Senegal with odds of 2.25 at Betway.

Senegal vs Nigeria Form

Senegal and Nigeria Last Matches

Senegal
Senegal Last matches
D W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  3
Senegal

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Ireland
1 :  1
Senegal

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Togo

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Togo

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
2 :  0
Burundi

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  0
Malawi

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
Burkina Faso
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  3
Senegal

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Ireland
1 :  1
Senegal

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Burkina Faso
0 :  1
Senegal

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Malawi
0 :  1
Senegal

9 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Burundi
0 :  1
Senegal
Nigeria
Nigeria Last matches
L W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Russia
1 :  1
Nigeria

31 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
2 :  2
Nigeria

28 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Ghana
1 :  2
Nigeria

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
Zimbabwe

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda
L D W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
Zimbabwe

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  0
Libya

7 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  0
Benin

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
South Africa

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
0 :  2
Mali
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Russia
1 :  1
Nigeria

31 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
2 :  2
Nigeria

28 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Ghana
1 :  2
Nigeria

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Benin
1 :  1
Nigeria

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Libya
0 :  3
Nigeria

Senegal vs Nigeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

23 Mar 2017 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
1 :  1
Senegal
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Senegal - Nigeria Key Points

  1. Six of Nigeria’s last 10 matches produced draws.
  2. Six of Senegal’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
  3. Five of Nigeria’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Three of the last six meetings between these teams ended in draws.
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Our Senegal vs Nigeria Prediction

For the eighth time in their history, Nigeria and Senegal will be clashing, this time without their internationally based players. The last three of their meetings ended in under 2.5 goals and three of the last six posted draws.

We don’t expect a high-scoring match this time either, and six of Nigeria’s recent 10 matches across all levels also ended in draws. That includes the last four. Our prediction for Senegal v Nigeria is for the match to end in under 2.5 goals and a draw.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and a draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Senegal vs Nigeria Prediction
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