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by Ita Emmanuel | in World Cup Predictions
A dead-rubber clash in Group H of CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers will see bottom-placed Sao Tome and Principe take on fourth-placed Malawi on Monday. The Elephants will attempt to salvage some pride with a respectable finish to their disappointing qualifying campaign. Let's take you through our prediction for the match.
Sao Tome and Principe have been the whipping boys in Group H of CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers. Nine straight defeats have left them rooted to the bottom of the standings with zero points. This includes a heavy 6-0 loss to group leaders Tunisia in their last match.
Notably, Ricardo Monsanto's men have conceded in all nine of their 2026 World Cup Qualifiers while failing to find the net in seven. They also have drawn blanks in three of their four home fixtures in the competition.
Malawi played out a 2-2 draw against Liberia in their last 2026 World Cup Qualifier. Goals from Gabadinho Mhango and Junior Yeanaye helped the Flames come from two goals down to level the score.
This result marked their first draw in the group after three wins and four defeats, leaving them fourth in the standings with 10 points. Callisto Pasuwa's side have found the net in their last two matches and beat Sao Tome and Principe 3-1 in the reverse fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sao Tome and Principe v Malawi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 6 | 1.17 |
|
|
17 | 6.5 | 1.14 |
|
|
10 | 5.25 | 1.29 |
|
|
11.5 | 5.75 | 1.19 |
|
|
14.5 | 5.8 | 1.09 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi?
Our prediction for the Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi match is: Malawi to score only.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2025 between Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.81% for a win of Sao Tome and Principe against Malawi with odds of 18 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi is 19.66% with odds of 6.75 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Malawi vs Sao Tome and Principe with odds of 1.29 at Betway.
Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi Form
Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 |
|
6
|
0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -22 |
Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Sao Tome and Principe - Malawi Key Points
- Sao Tome and Principe have conceded in all their nine 2026 World Cup Qualifiers.
- Sao Tome have failed to find the net in seven of their nine 2026 World Cup Qualifiers.
- Sao Tome and Principe have not scored in three of their four home 2026 World Cup Qualifiers.
- Malawi have scored in their last two 2026 World Cup Qualifiers.
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Our Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi Prediction
It has been a disappointing World Cup qualifying campaign for Sao Tome and Principe. However, they have a final chance to round it off on a positive note against Malawi on Monday. Meanwhile, one of their biggest challenges has been a toothless attack, as they have been struggling to find the net.
To make matters worse, they have also struggled with poor defense, conceding in all their nine matches. Given this precedent, we expect Malawi to score while keeping a clean sheet. Our Sao Tome and Principe vs Malawi prediction is Malawi to score only.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Sao Tome and Principe vs. Malawi game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Sao Tome and Principe and Malawi when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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