Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Santos host Corinthians in a matchday 28 fixture of the Brazilian Serie A on Wednesday night local time with points vital for both teams in an underwhelming campaign. This match in Santos between the 16th-placed ‘Fish’ and the 12th-placed ‘Timao’ comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
With 28 points from 26 matches, Santos are only three points above the bottom four teams that make up the relegation zone. Corinthians have 33 points from 27 games and are only above Gremio on goal difference.
Santos were beaten 3-0 away from home by Ceara in their last league game for their first defeat in six league matches. That said, four of those matches ended up in draws, and with only one win in that sequence, Santos are struggling to hold the fort.
The scenario is slightly better at home, where Santos have two wins and draws with only one defeat in their last five league fixtures here.
Corinthians had a 3-0 home win over Mirassol in the last round to end a three-game mini-drought for a victory (D1, L2). The win only underlines their indifferent form, as the visitors have won only three league games in their last 13 fixtures (W3, D5, L5).
Their away form is better in recent weeks, as Corinthians have won two and drawn one of their last four league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Santos v Corinthians Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.1 | 3 | 3.7 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.15 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Santos vs Corinthians match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2025 between Santos and Corinthians in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.3% for a win of Santos against Corinthians with odds of 2.25 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Corinthians is 26.69% with odds of 3.25 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Santos with odds of 4 at Betway.
Santos - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santos Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians wins | 41.01% | 4 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 2.12 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Corinthians | 20.02% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Santos vs Corinthians Form
Santos and Corinthians's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
33 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -5 |
|
16
|
31 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -11 |
Santos and Corinthians Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Sep 2025 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Sep 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Santos vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
12 Feb 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
7 Feb 2024 - Paulista Serie A1
29 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Feb 2023 - Paulista Serie A1
Santos against Corinthians Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
T. Rincon
ForwardT. Soares
H. Souza
DefenderRamalho
M. Bidu
MidfielderJ. Martinez
ForwardA. Carrillo
Vitinho
Most goals and assists
Santos
Corinthians
A. Barreal
(7 Goals)
Y. Alberto
(7 Goals)
T. Soares
(3 Assists)
M. Depay
(4 Assists)
Santos - Corinthians Key Points
- Corinthians saw under 2.5 goals in eight of their last ten away league games.
- Six of Santos’ last nine home league games have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- Santos saw fewer than three goals scored in five of their last seven league matches.
- Four of the last six matches between Santos and Corinthians saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Santos vs Corinthians Prediction
This is a match that neither team can lose, looking at how dire their season has been. Santos find themselves just above the four-team relegation zone, while Corinthians are just about hanging on to their place in the top-12. Santos have been struggling with their scoring all through the season, as only three teams have scored fewer goals than their 25 in the league ahead of this round. Corinthians haven’t been miles ahead (29), which means this match is unlikely to be anything but a slugfest.
Our Santos vs Corinthians prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santos Corinthians
| Santos vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 2.2 | 2.1 | -4.5% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
| Corinthians wins | 3.5 | 3.75 | +7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Corinthians is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 26.7% (-1.9%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Santos vs. Corinthians game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Santos and Corinthians when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Brasileirão Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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