Romania vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Romania’s search for their first points of the UEFA Nations League (UNL) faces a tough matchday four fixture against leaders Sweden on Monday. This match at the Arena Nationala in Bucharest between the fourth-placed ‘Tricolours’ and the first-placed ‘Blue and Yellow’ could favour the leaders with our match prediction backing a Swedish win.
The hosts are yet to win a single point in this UNL cycle (L3) and are four points behind third-placed Poland. Sweden are unbeaten in this cycle (W2, D1) and have a two-point lead over Bosnia ahead of this matchday.
Ten-man Romania were thrashed 6-0 away at Poland on Friday for their third consecutive defeat in this cycle. That run started with a 2-1 defeat against Sweden in the reverse fixture.
This is in sharp contrast to what they did in the last Nations League campaign, where they won all six matches to earn promotion. Repeating that form could be critical to improve on the 4-2 loss to Bosnia in their last home game.
Sweden conceded late to draw 1-1 away at Bosnia on Friday, halting their two-game winning start to this cycle. The Swedes now have seven wins from their last nine fixtures (D2) in this competition. Having lost three of their last five games away from Sweden (D2), the visitors have a long road ahead to improve.
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Romania v Sweden Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.38 | 4.1 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.96 | 1.81 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.88 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.96 | 1.81 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Romania and Sweden?
Our prediction for the Romania vs Sweden match is: Sweden wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2026 between Romania and Sweden in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.6% for a win of Romania against Sweden with odds of 4.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Romania vs Sweden is 16.67% with odds of 4.1 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Romania with odds of 1.89 at Betwinner.
Romania vs Sweden Form
Romania and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 |
Romania and Sweden Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
Romania vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2019 - Euro
27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies
Romania vs Sweden last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
V. Cojocaru
I. Radu
DefenderS. Borza
T. Strata
B. Racovitan
A. Coubis
MidfielderN. Stanciu
A. Cicaldau
M. Marin
O. Morutan
C. Cirjan
ForwardF. Tanase
N. Tornqvist
M. Ellborg
DefenderE. Smith
F. Beijmo
D. Svensson
MidfielderH. Bolin
L. Bergvall
W. Swedberg
K. Sema
S. Dahl
P. Abraham
Most goals and assists
Romania
Sweden
D. Man
(1 Goals)
,
A. Cicaldau
(1 Goals)
,
D. Birligea
(1 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(3 Goals)
A. Ratiu
(1 Assists)
,
L. Eissat
(1 Assists)
Y. Ayari
(1 Assists)
,
S. Nanasi
(1 Assists)
,
P. Walemark
(1 Assists)
,
V. Lindelof
(1 Assists)
,
A. Bernhardsson
(1 Assists)
Romania and Sweden Stats in UEFA Nations League
Romania - Sweden Key Points
- Sweden won two of their last three matches.
- Sweden have won seven of their last nine UNL matches, drawing the other two.
- Romania have lost five of their last seven matches including the last three.
- Romania have lost each of their last three matches against Sweden.
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Our Romania vs Sweden Prediction
Romania are yet to win a single point in this UNL cycle and are looking strong candidates to finish last in the group. They lost even the reverse leg, which was matchday one, and Sweden will look to extend that winning run. That would at least maintain their two-point lead at the lead, and with favourable results, Sweden could confirm a top-two finish.
Sweden have a strong record in head-to-head matches, winning four of the last five, including three in a row. That trend could continue here, and our Romania vs Sweden prediction is Sweden wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
