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29 November 2023 - 15:00 

- Day 5

Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
VS
Napoli

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Real Madrid vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Prediction

Napoli are set to visit Real Madrid in a Group C Champions League encounter that could secure their second round slot. Going into this game, hosts Real Madrid are top of the group with 12 points while Napoli are second on seven. Real Madrid have already secured qualification to the next stage of the competition. The Spanish giants will however still want to play for top spot, in which case a win will secure that. Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid rose from behind to beat Napoli 3-2 in their first meeting in this group. They will be seeking a double here, and a 3-0 win over Cadiz was a good warm-up for this encounter. That was their fourth win in five matches, and also the fourth in that streak to produce over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid have scored at least three times in the last three matches, returning a total of 11 goals.

With seven points from their opening four matches in this group, Napoli will be targeting a win here. That will secure their place in the next round but they can still qualify by simply matching Braga’s result. The Italian champions are really struggling to match last season’s standards both domestically and in Europe. However, to this game they come having won 2-1 at Atalanta in Serie A. Napoli have only failed to score once in their last five matches. That was in the 1-0 loss to Empoli. In three of their last five matches they scored more than a goal and two had over 2.5 goals. This will be the fourth time in their history that Napoli face Real Madrid. In each of the earlier three, Real Madrid scored at least three goals, and won all. From their four matches in this group, Napoli have two wins.

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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Napoli Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 4 4.5
NetBet
1.58 3.65 4.3
Check all Real Madrid vs Napoli odds
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Who will win the Real Madrid vs Napoli Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Real Madrid and Napoli of Champions League on 11/29/23 :

  • There is a probability of 52.87% ⭐ for Real Madrid to win this match against Napoli ⚽ with odds of 1.7 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4 which implies a probability of 17.97%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Napoli to win the match are about 4.5 at Bet365. That means a probability of 29.16%.

Real Madrid - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid vs Napoli prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Real Madrid  is favoured to win52.87 %1.7
Draw17.97 %4
Napoli wins the game29.16 %4.5

Real Madrid vs Napoli Form

Real Madrid and Napoli's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18 6 6 0 0 9
2
Napoli
Napoli
10 6 3 1 2 1

Real Madrid and Napoli Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga

Cádiz
0 :  3
Real Madrid

11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Valencia

8 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
SC Braga

5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

24 Oct 2023 - Champions League

SC Braga
1 :  2
Real Madrid
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
W D W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

12 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Empoli

8 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Union Berlin

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
0 :  2
Napoli

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan

24 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Napoli

Real Madrid against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Napoli

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
4.33
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

3 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Real Madrid

7 Mar 2017 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  3
Real Madrid

15 Feb 2017 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Napoli
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Real Madrid against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

13
A. Lunin
2
D. Carvajal
22
A. Rudiger
4
D. Alaba
23
F. Mendy
15
F. Valverde
8
T. Kroos
19
D. Ceballos
5
J. Bellingham
21
B. Diaz
11
Rodrygo
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
18
G. Simeone
21
M. Politano
20
P. Zielinski
68
S. Lobotka
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
5
J. Jesus
3
Natan
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Napoli
Napoli
Midfielder

P. Zielinski

Real Madrid & Napoli Squad Analysis

Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti goes head-to-head with his former club and will want to get one on them despite having already qualified. The long-term absence of goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois and defender Eder Militao remain key concerns. Among Ancelotti’s fitness concerns is midfielder Luka Modric, who has reported a muscular problem. Vinicius Junior is out for the rest of 2023 while French pair Aurelien Tchouameni and Eduardo Camavinga are unlikely to feature.

At Napoli, Mathias Olivera is a concern after being withdrawn in the win over Atalanta. His potential absence worsens the concerns at left back with Mario Rui also sidelined. The best news for the Italians though, is that Victor Osimhen is fit and ready after returning over the weekend. New manager Walter Mazzari will also be a man in focus as he starts his managerial career. He takes over Napoli at a tumultuous period, a big contrast to their highs last season.

Real Madrid - Napoli Key Points

  1. Three of Napoli’s last five away matches had over 2.5 goals
  2. Four of Real Madrid’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals
  3. Three of Real Madrid’s last four home matches had over 2.5 goals
  4. Two of Napoli’s last four Champions League matches had over 2.5 goals
  5. All the last three meetings between Napoli and Real Madrid have had over 2.5 goals
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Our Real Madrid vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli aren’t in their best shape coming into this game, especially defensively. They are however consistent in attack and that should play out here. Real Madrid have secured qualification and will not be pressured here. They should still offer stiff competition to Napoli. Real Madrid are on a good scoring run too. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Napoli is for over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Real Madrid vs Napoli Prediction

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Real Madrid vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The Real Madrid v Napoli game will be player at the Santiago Bernabeu on Wednesday

Victor Osimhen is back after weeks out with injury and will feature in the Real Madrid v Napoli game.

Real Madrid are unbeaten in five matches against Napoli.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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