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21 January 2024 - 10:15 

- Day 21

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
VS
Almería

Prediction :

Under 4.5 Goals

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Real Madrid vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

 by Sridhar | in LaLiga Prediction

Real Madrid will look to shake off their Copa del Rey disappointment and concentrate on La Liga title charge when they host Almería this weekend. This league game will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium on Sunday. Ahead of this round, the hosts are 2nd in the standings with 48 points but with a game in hand over leaders Girona while the visitors are bottom of the standings with six points. Madrid can go temporarily top of the standings with at least a point here, as Girona play later in the day. Yet, they would like that to be a win and keep their title chances alive. Coming on the back of a loss to Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey, the hosts will be desperate not to lose back-to-back games for the first time this season.

Almería are the only side yet to win a league game in this campaign and find themselves ten points from safety ahead of this round. They are also the worst defensive side of the league with 43 goals conceded, so there are a lot of things to address. Yet, they did manage to draw three of their last six matches which gives them a slight ray of hope. That would be evaporated though, looking at their away form as Almería have lost their last nine away league games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Almería Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 10 19
NetBet
1.11 9.5 20
Check all Real Madrid vs Almería odds
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Who will win the Real Madrid vs Almería Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Real Madrid and Almería of LaLiga on 1/21/24 :

  • There is a probability of 90.59% ⭐ for Real Madrid to win this match against Almería ⚽ with odds of 1.13 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 10 which implies a probability of 6.87%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Almería to win the match are about 20 at NetBet. That means a probability of 2.54%.

Real Madrid - Almería Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid vs Almería prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Real Madrid  is favoured to win90.59 %1.13
Draw6.87 %10
Almería wins the game2.54 %20

Real Madrid vs Almería Form

Real Madrid and Almería's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
93 36 29 6 1 61
20
Almería
Almería
17 36 2 11 23 -37

Real Madrid and Almería Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.17
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
4 :  2
Real Madrid

14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Barcelona

10 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
5 :  3
Atletico Madrid

6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey

Arandina
1 :  3
Real Madrid

3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Mallorca

21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Madrid
Almería
Almería Last matches
L L D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

14 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Almería
0 :  0
Girona

4 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Almería

20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  2
Almería

17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Almería
0 :  0
Mallorca

10 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Almería

6 Dec 2023 - Copa del Rey

UD Barbastro
1 :  0
Almería

Real Madrid against Almería : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Almería

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
4.33
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

19 Aug 2023 - LaLiga

Almería
1 :  3
Real Madrid

29 Apr 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Almería

14 Aug 2022 - LaLiga

Almería
1 :  2
Real Madrid
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Real Madrid against Almería Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

25
K. Arrizabalaga
2
D. Carvajal
22
A. Rudiger
6
Nacho
23
F. Mendy
15
F. Valverde
18
A. Tchouameni
8
T. Kroos
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
29
Marezi
7
L. Ramazani
6
D. Lopy
5
L. Robertone
19
S. Arribas
3
E. Gonzalez
18
S. Akieme
21
Chumi
15
K. Melo
18
M. Pubill Pages
25
L. Maximiano

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Almería

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Almería
Almería
Defender

A. Radovanovic

Midfielder

B. Iddrisu

Real Madrid - Almería Key Points

  1. Three of the last four La Liga matches between Real Madrid and Almería have returned under 4.5 goals
  2. In 17 of Madrid’s last 19 league matches, there have been under 4.5 goals scored
  3. That included seven of their last nine home league games
  4. Almería have produced under 4.5 goals in nine of their last ten league matches
  5. In seven of their last ten away league matches, Almería have seen under 4.5 goals scored
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Our Real Madrid vs Almería Prediction

Real Madrid had an up-and-down week coming into this fixture, as the Super Cup win over arch rivals Barcelona was followed by a Copa del Rey loss to city rivals Atletico. The lone positive coming out of that defeat was that they can now concentrate on their league commitments. Thankfully, Almería haven’t been able to ever win at this venue, losing all seven La Liga matches played here. While the odds aren’t paying good on a Madrid win, it is the goals market we are concentrating and backing that the visitors can keep the damage to a minimum. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Almería is for under 4.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 4.5 Goals

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Real Madrid vs Almería Prediction

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