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PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
by Matthew Newman in Eredivisie Predictions
PSV Eindhoven will take on AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie match on Saturday evening. Boeren is top of the league at present while the visiting De Kaasboeren is in 5th ahead of us making our prediction.
The home team have been almost perfect so far this season at Philips Stadion, winning all eight of their games, and conceding just three times. They have averaged four goals per home game as well, a total of 32 scored.
Their final game before Christmas saw them beat Feyenoord here 3-0, a team who had not lost away from home to that point. Feyenoord are a place above AZ Alkmaar in the table in 4th.
AZ Alkmaar has been very tight at the back on the road. They have conceded just seven times in eight games. Five of those have come in their last three, which is a bit of a concern.
There has been an equal split of points with 16 points picked up both at home and away. Six wins in their last nine games in all competitions have them as an in-form team. This is by far their toughest game though.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 5.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.05 | 6.46 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.05 | 6.46 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.2 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.44 | 5.4 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 7.3 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.1 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar match is: PSV Eindhoven -1
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.41% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.67 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar is 8.69% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.9% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 8 at Unibet.
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 68.41% | 1.67 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.41% | |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven/PSV Eindhoven | 31.52% | 2.15 at Betsson |
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Form
PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
46 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 44 |
|
6
|
34 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
6 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
9 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
28 May 2023 - Eredivisie
12 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie
5 Feb 2022 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
R. Pepi
(11 Goals)
T. Parrott
(11 Goals)
N. Lang
(7 Assists)
, 
I. Saibari
(7 Assists)
D. Wolfe
(4 Assists)
,
S. Mijnans
(4 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Seven of PSV’s eight home league games have seen them cover a -1 handicap.
- Although AZ has won five times on the road in the league, they have been against the bottom three, 13th and 10th, all bottom-half teams.
- PSV have won their home league games by an average score of 4 - 0.375 this season.
- In four of their 11 games away from home in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have failed to score.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
No team in the league has conceded fewer away goals than AZ Alkmaar. This is by far their stiffest test this season, however and their excellent defence from earlier on in the season has just started to show a few cracks in recent games. Five goals conceded in their last three games is a notable concern.
PSV Eindhoven are hammering teams at the Philips Stadion so far this season and while AZ Alkmaar might be able to keep things close for a while, they will struggle to hold the home team. Our PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is PSV Eindhoven -1.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
| PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 1.36 | 1.38 | +1.5% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 7 | 6.5 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 72.5% (-1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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