Paraguay vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Paraguay’s prize for upsetting Germany is a date with tournament favourites France in the last 16 round of the 2026 World Cup at the Philadelphia Stadium. The winner of this match between ‘La Albirroja’ and ‘Les Bleus’ will meet either Canada or Morocco in the quarterfinals. While Paraguay are flying high in the wake of a massive upset, France are confident in how they are scoring goals with ease. Will this match follow the script, or do we have another upset awaiting us?
The 41st-ranked Paraguay were given no chance of going past Germany in the last 32 round, but they managed to progress from just their second ever World Cup knockout tie. Adding to that count would require a monumental effort, as France have been the in-form team of the tournament.
‘Les Bleus’ have not just won all four games so far; they have won them in style, scoring 3+ goals each time. Will that be the case once again here against Paraguay, taking France closer towards the title? Keep reading to find more on our match predictions.
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Paraguay v France Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 6.8 | 1.18 |
|
|
16.5 | 7.01 | 1.23 |
|
|
16 | 6.7 | 1.19 |
|
|
16 | 6.7 | 1.19 |
|
|
16.5 | 7.01 | 1.23 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and France?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs France match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/07/2026 between Paraguay and France in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.58% for a win of Paraguay against France with odds of 20 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs France is 19.36% with odds of 7.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.06% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Paraguay with odds of 1.23 at 1xbet.
Paraguay vs France Form
Paraguay and France Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Paraguay vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies
Paraguay - France: Form Analysis
Paraguay held Germany to a 1-1 draw during regular time in the last 32 rounds before progressing via penalty kicks. That keeps them unbeaten in three matches (W1, D2) during regular time, an excellent turnaround from a 4-1 loss to the USA on matchday one.
Despite that win over Germany, Paraguay don’t exude confidence of a side that can do the job during regular time. They have just four wins within 90 minutes in their last ten games (D2, L4).
France are unbeaten in the three games they played against Paraguay (W1, D2) since 2000.
The last of those saw France win 5-0 in 2017, and going by their recent scoring record, a repeat won’t be a surprise. France blanked Sweden 3-0 in the last 32 round, making it the fifth World Cup game in a row where they scored at least three goals.
France have an xG of 7.86 in this tournament and come here with the confidence of nine wins from their last ten games (L1). A minor concern for ‘Les Bleus’ is the fact that they conceded in seven of their last nine matches.
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Paraguay vs France last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Olveira
G. Fernandez
DefenderA. Maidana
F. Balbuena
G. Velazquez
O. Alderete
MidfielderG. Caballero
R. Sosa
B. Ojeda
Mauricio
ForwardA. Arce
A. Sanabria
A. Romero Gamarra
I. Pitta
R. Risser
B. Samba
DefenderL. Hernandez
T. Hernandez
I. Konate
M. Lacroix
M. Gusto
MidfielderN. Kante
R. Cherki
M. Kone
M. Akliouche
W. Zaire-Emery
ForwardD. Doue
M. Thuram
J. Mateta
Missing players
O. Alderete
ForwardG. Avalos
J. Enciso
M. Thuram
Paraguay & France Squad Analysis
Paraguay will welcome back Diego Gomez, who sat out the Germany game due to a one-game suspension. Omar Alderete will be back in contention after missing the same game with a knee issue. Julio Enciso came off in the game against Germany with a muscle issue, and his absence could be a big blow.
The South Americans lined up in a 4-4-2 system against Germany, which was, for practical purposes, a 4-2-2-2 formation. They have shown enough flexibility to shut shop and line up in a 5-3-2 system, and with Enciso doubtful, they may line up defensively here.
Kylian Mbappe has six goals and two assists in four games this tournament.
Along with Mbappe, Ousmane Dembele has four goals and two assists for France, leading their scoring riot. The mastermind behind their attacks and the architect of their creative force is Michael Olise, who has sparkled with five assists.
This trio has been key to France’s 4-2-3-1 system, with Desire Doue completing the attacking quartet. There are no injury concerns for the French, whose only absentee is Marcus Thuram, who sat their last two games out.
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
France
Mauricio
(1 Goals)
,
M. Galarza
(1 Goals)
,
J. Enciso
(1 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(6 Goals)
J. Enciso
(2 Assists)
M. Olise
(5 Assists)
Paraguay - France Key Points
- France scored 3 or more goals in each of their four World Cup games this edition.
- France’s last 13 matches have all seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- France have now scored at least three goals in each of their last five World Cup games, their longest such streak.
- Paraguay scored exactly once in five of their last seven matches.
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Our Paraguay vs France Prediction
Paraguay showed great grit in upsetting Germany in the previous round, thanks to an impressive first-half performance. Orlando Gill was impressive throughout the match for Paraguay, eventually turning out to be a hero in the penalties too. He will be massively tested by a free-flowing France team that has been scoring goals for fun. They have netted three or more goals in each of their last five World Cup games and will take some stopping.
The impressive French contingent's scoring record is one of the reasons why our Paraguay vs France prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Paraguay vs France Alternative Predictions
France wins
Will lightning strike twice? Not many gave Paraguay a chance in their game against Germany, but here they are, purely on merit. However, France are a completely different team in terms of confidence. Their high-scoring nature makes them a difficult side to stop on any day. France to win in regular time.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Paraguay vs. France game!
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Paraguay vs France - FAQs
The Paraguay vs France World Cup match will be shown live on Trece and GEN TV in Paraguay, while M6 and beIN Sports are the official broadcasters in France Metropolitan. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
